Posted
on 01/28/2007 3:49 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Basketball Handicapping
Staff
NCAA Basketball Betting - St. Mary's at San Diego
BetUS: The
St. Mary's Gaels (17-2 SU, 10-6 ATS), currently
ranked #24 in the country, will try to extend
their winning streak to six games on Monday
night when they visit the Jenny Craig Pavilion
(that's right, the Jenny Craig Pavilion) to
play the San Diego Toreros (10-11 SU, 10-7
ATS) in West Coast Conference action tipping
off at 10 PM ET.
In the BetUS NCAA basketball betting odds,
St. Mary's is listed as a eight--point road
favorite, with the total posted at 132.5
points.
Here are some of the NCAAB betting trends
relative to this matchup:
* SM has won its last five games SU
* SM has covered four of its last five games
* SM has played five of its last seven games
UNDER the total
* SD has won three of its last four games
SU
* SD has covered eight of its last 12 games
* SD is 2-5 ATS at home this season
* SD has played three of its last four games
UNDER the total
* SM has covered three of the last five
meetings
* SM has won six of the last eight meetings
SU
* SM has had the shooting edge in six of
the last eight meetings
Eighty years ago, Notre Dame alumnus Slip
Madigan built the St. Mary's Gaels into a
national football power. Now, Randy Bennett
is trying to do the same on the basketball
court, and thus far he is succeeding, with
the Gaels ranked #24 in the latest coaches'
poll. They are also sitting at #17 in the
RPI rankings, the most powerful reference
in terms of seeding the NCAA tournament field.
St. Mary's has shot 53% or better in three
of its last five games. The Gaels like to
keep games in the 70's at least, so San Diego
faces a bit of a challenge to slow things
down and get St. Mary's in a deliberate,
half-court game. San Diego has had mixed
results thus far, scoring big wins at home
against Hawaii and AT Kentucky, but the Toreros
have also faltered against teams like Stephen
F. Austin and Cal-Bakersfield.
St. Mary's has lost only to Southern Illinois
and Texas, after vaulting into national prominence
at the start of the season with wins over
Drake (currently 9th in the RPI), Oregon
and Seton Hall. They have a defensive presence
(allowing 40% shooting) and the rebounding
edge over the quick but smaller Toreros.
The Gaels have the three-point shooting ability
(8.2 per game) to extend the margin here.
And San Diego has been a little too slippery
with the ball (15.9 TO's per game) to get
a hearty recommendation from us here.
In a game that will likely be all about
tempo, we like St. Mary's, which has some
lockdown capabilities, to force their own
will. We lay the points with the Gaels, the
eight-point favorite in the BetUS NCAAB betting
odds.
BetUS NCAA basketball betting odds: ST.
MARY'S -8, Total 132.5
NCAA Basketball Betting Free Pick: JAY'S
PLAY: ST. MARY'S
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