Posted
on 01/28/2007 5:30 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Basketball Handicapping
Staff
NCAA Basketball Betting - Santa Clara at San Francisco
BetUS: The
San Francisco Dons (5-14 SU, 8-8 ATS), the
alma mater of former NBA MVP Bill Russell,
will take another shot at reaching an historic
milestone for their coach on Monday night
when they play host to the Santa Clara Broncos
(10-9 SU, 8-9 ATS), the alma mater of former
NBA MVP Steve Nash, in a West Coast Conference
game that tips off at 10 PM ET from the War
memorial Gymnasium.
In the BetUS NCAA basketball betting odds,
San Francisco is listed as a one-point favorite,
with the total posted at 124 points.
Here are some of the NCAAB betting trends
relative to this matchup:
* SC has covered three straight games
* SC has covered three of its last nine
games
* SC has played five of its last six games
UNDER the total
* SC has lost its last four road games SU
* SC is 3-1 ATS in conference play
* SF has lost nine of its last ten games
SU
* SF has covered three of its last four
games
* SF has played five straight games UNDER
the total
* SF has covered two of its six home games
this season
* SC has covered five of the last six meetings
* SC has won four of the last five meetings
SU
* SC has had the rebounding edge in four
of the last five meetings
Eddie Sutton, who has had so much success
at programs like Oklahoma State and Kentucky,
is sitting at 799 wins. There is nothing
more his Dons would like than for him to
attain #800 at home. This is their third
try at it, and the Dons were turned back
against national powers Gonzaga and St. Mary's
in the last week.
Santa Clara
swept last season's series by scores of
61-58 and 74-62. The Broncos bring size
to the table in a major way, with conference
player of the year candidate Josh Bryant
(17.3 ppg, 9.2 rpg), a 6'10" center
who is hard to stop.
Dior Lowhorn, the transfer from Texas Tech,
has been a good find for USF, as he leads
the team in both scoring (20.5 ppg) and rebounds
(7.4 rpg). He's shooting 49% from the field,
but no other member of the regular rotation
is hitting with more than 45% accuracy. And
three-point threats are few and far between.
Santa Clara has been on something of a roller-coaster
ride lately. The Broncos scored just 45 points
against St. Mary's on January 12, shooting
just 31%. They came back a week later to
hold Loyola Marymount to just 15 points in
the second half and 35 for the game, then
two days after that, they scored 101 against
Pepperdine on 67% from the field. Last time
out, they lost 53-51 to San Diego.
Talk about
low-scoring games - Sutton, who took over
the coaching reins on December 26, has
slowed down the tempo at San Francisco
as necessary. Since he's taken over, USF
has played all of its games under the total,
averaging 57 points a game. Unfortunately
for Sutton, the defensive style employed
by Ben Howland disciple Kerry Keating at
Santa Clara may have real "lockdown" capabilities
against his crew of shooters. Interestingly
enough, Santa Clara also allows 24 rebounds
per game by opponents when they play on the
road, and that figure is the best in all
of Division I.
Lowhorn's a standout, but Bryant is the
best player on the floor. Santa Clara will
welcome the slower tempo, and will grind
offensively-challenged USF down. We'll go
with Santa Clara, the one-point underdog
in the BetUS NCAA basketball betting odds.
NCAAB Free Picks:
JAY'S PLAY: SANTA CLARA
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