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Arizona vs. USC Preview + Free Pick

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Posted on 01/31/2007 2:49 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Basketball Handicapping Staff

NCAAB Betting - Arizona (+ 3) vs. USC (- 3)

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BetUS: The Arizona Wildcats have gone 6 and 4 against the spread in their last 10. The USC Trojans have gone 6 and 3 against the spread in their last 9. This sets up as a very important Pac-10 match-up between two teams that should make it to the NCAA Tournament in March.

Here are some trends:

The Arizona Wildcats are 9 and 2 against the spread in their last 11 games as an UNDERDOG on the road.

The USC Trojans are 4 and 0 against the spread in their last 4 games against a rival team from the Pac-10 Division.

The Arizona Wildcats are 0 and 4 against the spread in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

The Arizona Wildcats are 5 and 0 against the spread in their last 5 overall games.

No notable injuries for either team. That means that this will come down to which team plays better defense. I don’t know why, but this Arizona team just feels special to me. They play better defense then any other Arizona team I’ve seen in probably the past ten years. Not only that, but their freshmen, the other one in the Pac-10 that isn’t name Mayo or Love, is more impressive to me then either one of those guys has been.

The reason is that Arizona freshmen Jeryd Bayless is a college basketball player. Mayo and Love are just playing this year to qualify for the NBA draft. Bayless reminds me of a Mark Macon or Steve Alford type - - he may not make it to the NBA as a lottery pick, but he will carry his team deep into the NCAA Tournament.

Because of that I actually like the Wildcats in this game. They can play man-to-man or zone versus the USC Trojans. The Trojans have a tendency to rely too much on Mayo. If they do that at any point during this game, then the Wildcats could go a decent run.

The BetUS NCAAB Betting line is Arizona Wildcats + 3 against the spread on the road versus the USC Trojans.

NCAAB Free Picks: like the Wildcats to win this game straight-up tonight. USC is improving, but so is Arizona.

This game is going to come down to defense and Arizona’s is just a bit better.

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