Posted
on 01/29/2008 5:45 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NBA Basketball Handicapping
Staff
NBA Basketball Betting - San Antonio at Seattle
BetUS: WHO:
San Antonio Spurs (28-15 SU, 20-23 ATS) at
Seattle SuperSonics (9-35 SU, 20-23-1 ATS)
WHERE: Key Arena in Seattle
WHEN: Tuesday, January 29 at 10 PM ET
BetUS NBA basketball betting odds: SAN ANTONIO
-7.5, Total 194
In the HEAD-to-HEAD NBA betting trends:
* SA has won the last six meetings SU
* SA has covered the last five meetings
* The last three meetings have gone OVER
the total
* Seven of the last ten meetings have gone
OVER the total
* SA has had the shooting edge in five of
the last six meetings
* SA has had the rebounding edge in nine
of the last ten meetings
* SA has made more three-pointers in nine
of the last ten meetings
San Antonio is careful with the ball, turning
it over just 12.2 times a game. The Spurs,
the defending NBA champs, have guarded the
perimeter pretty well, holding its opponents
to 5.1 three-pointers a contest. And they're
allowing 91.8 points a game on the road.
Also:
* SA has lost seven of its last ten road
games SU
* SA has covered five of its last 20 games
* SA has covered one of its last eight road
games
* SA has played its last eight games UNDER
the total
* SA has played nine of its last ten road
games UNDER the total
Seattle has scooped up 45 rebounds a game,
second in the league. the Sonics are yielding
105 points per outing, and hit just 4.3 shots
from beyond the arc on average. Also:
* SEA is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
* SEA has lost its last 14 games SU
* SEA has played 10 of its last 15 games
UNDER the total
* SEA has covered six of its last nine home
games
* SEA has lost its last six home games SU
* SEA has played five of its last seven
home games UNDER the total
San Antonio has been dominant over Seattle
since the outset of last season, winning
five straight by an average of 25 ppg. And
few would argue that this year's Seattle
edition is a step or two down from last year's,
as they transition with younger players,
particularly the erratic-shooting Kevin Durant.
But the Spurs have been missing numbers
in a big way, dropping 15 of its last 20
against the number, seven of its last eight
on the road, and seven of eight playing the
back end of back-to-backs. They just have
not been exceeding expectations. And they
have scored just 89 points a game over their
last eight.
Under the circumstances,
perhaps the best way to look is to the
total. We know that both teams have been
trending in the same direction (San Antonio
playing its last eight "under," while
Seattle 10 of last 15 "under.").
Considering the Spurs surrender just 94 ppg
on the road, and no doubt will have a defensive
plan to stifle Durant, Seattle's only real
scoring option (and a self-centered on at
that), we're going to move UNDER the 194
points as it is posted in the BetUS NBA basketball
betting odds.
NBA Free Selections: JAY'S PLAY: UNDER 194
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