NBA Eastern Conference Finals Wagering - Boston Celtics vs. Detroit Pistons
Which Team will reach the League Finals,
and has a Better Chance to Win?
With four games of the Eastern Conference
Finals having been played in the BetUS
online sportsbook up to this point -
and the Boston Celtics and Detroit Pistons
splitting the four contests with each
team winning once on the road - both
teams would appear to have an equal chance
of reaching the 2007-08 NBA Finals despite
the fact that two of the three final
sports betting contests in the online
betting series will be played in Boston
if a Game 7 is even necessary (it will
be).
So, which team will emerge from the
gritty Eastern Conference Finals to reach
the NBA Finals and will either of these
two teams have a realistic chance of
defeating whichever team comes out of
the Western Conference Finals - the Los
Angeles Lakers or San Antonio Spurs -
in the league finals?
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I have the answers to each the aforementioned
questions beginning with the winner of
this series.
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The
Boston Celtics, who are +140 to win
the NBA Championship in the BetUS Sportsbook,
(66-16 SU, 52-28-2 ATS, 36-45 O/U)
have struggled to cover the spread
in the postseason, (10-8 SU, 7-11 ATS,
8-10 O/U) going just 7-11 against the
spread in 18 postseason games after
posting the league’s best ATS record
during the regular season.
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After averaging 100.5 points per game
on 47.5 percent shooting from the field
during the regular season while limiting
their opponents to just 90.3 points per
game on a league-best 42.0 percent shooting
mark, the Celtics are averaging nearly
ten points per game less in the playoffs,
though their defense has actually improved
with the slower pace of the postseason.
The Celtics are averaging 90.9 points
per game in the playoffs on 44.5 percent
shooting while allowing just 86.8 per
game on 41.9 percent shooting in the
postseason.
The Detroit
Pistons, who are +800 to win the NBA
Championship in the BetUS Sportsbook,
(59-23 SU, 45-36-1 ATS, 36-45 O/U)
averaged 97.5 points per game on 45.8
percent shooting while allowing just
90.1 points per contest on 43.7 percent
shooting during the regular season
while recording the league’s
eight-best ATS record.
While Detroit’s scoring is also
down on the offensive end of the floor
in the postseason, (91.4 ppg) the team’s
defense is as solid as ever as Detroit
is allowing just 88.0 points per contest
on 44.2 percent shooting.
The Pistons, (10-5 SU, 9-6 ATS, 5-10
O/U) have also been covering the online
betting spread much better than their
counterparts during the playoffs, posting
a solid 9-6 ATS record in 15 postseason
games so far.
While the
Celtics have gone a dismal 2-7 against
the spread in their last nine postseason
contests, I genuinely believe they
will advance to the NBA Finals simply
because of their home-court advantage
over the series’ final
three games, though the Pistons have
already proven they can win in anywhere.
While it
would be silly to count the veteran
Pistons out of this series with three
games possible remaining, I am not
fond of Detroit’s inability
to occasionally play without any emotion
whatsoever – even at home.
No matter which team advances to the
NBA Finals, I firmly believe that either
club will have an excellent chance at
winning it all, (though the Celtics have
a better chance with home-court advantage
throughout the postseason), because of
their respective defenses, which are
ranked first, (Boston) and third, (Detroit)
respectively in the playoffs.
I also
have to believe that Boston’s
first road victory in the postseason
over the Pistons in Game 3, will give
this team the confidence and impetus
to win at least one more online betting
road contest in the finals against either
the Lakers or Spurs and possibly Game
6 against Detroit.
While Boston
has struggled to cover the spread,
both, at home and on the road, ever
since the first round concluded, I
believe Boston’s defensive greatness
will allow them to cover the NBA wagering
spread in at least one or two more basketball
betting road contests before the postseason
is over, (particularly if they meet the
low-scoring, defensive-minded Spurs).
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