Posted
on 01/23/2008 3:45 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NBA Basketball Handicapping
Staff
Bet On NBA - Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs
BetUS: Wednesday's
NBA contest delivered by The World-Wide
Leader of Sports starting at 9:00pm EST
is a NBA betting dandy as the San Antonio
Spurs (-6) welcome the Los Angeles Lakers
(+6) to the AT&T Center for a Western
Conference battle.
The Lakers won two of three against the
Spurs in 2006-07 and this will be the third
meeting between the two Western Conference
powerhouses this season. The Lakers are 4-1
ATS (against the spread) in the last five
contests played in San Antonio.
In the first meeting on Nov. 13 this year,
San Antonio claimed a 107-92 road victory
as the 8-point underdogs with the game playing
over the total of 198. Spurs' Bruce Bowen
successfully guarded Kobe Bryant, he even
outscored him.
Bowen went 6-of-6 from beyond the arc and
finished with 23 points and Bryant had 18.
Tony Parker poured in 26 points, Manu Ginobili
added 17 and Tim Duncan had only 5 for San
Antonio and was just 2-for-13 from the field.
Over his career, Duncan puts up 21.1 ppg
and shoots a respectable 45.8 percent from
the floor. At home, he's averaging 21.4 ppg
over his career and shooting a dazzling 51.9
percent.
In the second and most recent meeting on
Dec. 13, Los Angeles posted a 102-97 home
victory but failed to cover the spread as
the 6-point favorites, but the under prevailed
in this one being set at 201. Bryant scored
30 points in the money-dropping win. The
Spurs were without Duncan and Tony Parker.
The Lakers out rebounded the Spurs 50-40,
and the Spurs had 29 assists to the Lakers'
15.
When the Lakers
and Spurs take the floor, the under has
cashed in five of the last seven games
overall, and the under is 6-1 in the last
seven meetings played at the AT&T Center.
As well, the road team is 8-3 ATS in the
last 11 contests in the series and the
underdog has barked in four of the last
five between the two.
The Lakers are coming off a decisive 116-99
cover victory over the Denver Nuggets on
Monday night in an important win. Bryant
had 17 points and a season-high 11 assists.
- Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
following a SU (straight up) win of more
than 10 points.
- Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
following a ATS win.
But more importantly center Kwame Brown,
who's filling the shoes of Andrew Bynum after
he dislocated his kneecap and suffered a
deep bone bruise last Sunday and will be
out for at least eight weeks, had a solid
game with seven points and a season-high
11 rebounds.
Prior to Monday's win, fans booed Brown
every time he touched the ball for several
minutes before he came out for good after
committing his fifth foul with 3:50 left
in the third period in a 106-98 home loss
to Phoenix on Thursday. He had eight points
and six rebounds over 25:12 minutes.
The Lakers also have been playing without
center Chris Mihm (sore right Achilles' tendon)
and forward Vladimir Radmanovic (sprained
right ankle). They hope both will be back
in the next couple weeks. The Lakers also
are without reserve forward Trevor Ariza
for eight weeks after he broke his foot at
Sunday's practice.
The Spurs are also coming off a cover win
by beating the hosting Charlotte Bobcats
on Monday 95-86. The victory ended a minor
two-game slide for San Antonio. Duncan had
19 points and 10 rebounds and five Spurs
scored in double figures as San Antonio ended
a three-game stretch where it failed to reach
90 points.
- Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games
following a SU win.
- Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games
following a ATS win.
- Spurs are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29
games playing on 1 days rest.
Ginobili and Parker added 16 points apiece
and Michael Finley scored 13 for the Spurs,
who shot 49 percent in only their third win
in seven games.
The Lakers come into Wednesday's game against
the Spurs second in the Pacific at 27-12
as the third-ranked offense in the NBA, scoring
a robust 107.8 ppg. Those numbers barely
move when they're on the road, where they
score 106.3 ppg.
Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 101.4
ppg and opponents are shooting 44.1 percent
from the floor. On the road, points allowed
jumps to 106.3 ppg and foes shoot a solid
47.7 percent.
Bryant is the league's second-leading scorer
with 27.4 ppg. Against the Spurs, he's posting
24.8-points per contest and shooting a solid
43.1 percent from the floor in his career.
Away from the Staples Center over his career,
he's averaging 24.2 ppg and knocking down
44.24 percent of his shots.
- Lakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs.
Western Conference.
- Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday
games.
- Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road
games.
The Spurs enter this one third in the Southwest
at 26-13 with an offense scoring only 97.2
ppg and shooting 45.8 percent. Home cooking
hardly helps their offense output as they
score 98.8 ppg, but do shoot a respectable
46.5 percent in front of the home folks.
What San Antonio lacks offensively, they
make up for defensively with the NBA's third-best
unit that's allowing a stingy 91.5 ppg, holding
opponents to 45.4 shooting percent from the
floor.
But the Spurs haven't beaten a winning team
in more than a month. They have dropped their
last seven games against teams with .500
records or better since a 102-91 win against
Denver on Dec. 15. The defending NBA champions
are just 9-10 in their last 19 games overall.
- Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs.
Western Conference.
- Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday
games.
- Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home
games.
- Spurs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games
overall.
NBA odds list San Antonio the 6-point favorites
with a game total of 197.
- Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
as a favorite.
- Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
as a home favorite.
- Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
as an underdog.
- Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games
as a road underdog.
Analysis: The absence of Bynum really hurts
the Lakers. Brown will do a decent job at
best filling in for Bynum, but in the first
three games as Bynum's replacement, Brown
has a combined 25 points and only two assists,
fouling out in one of the three. Brown will
get schooled by Duncan in this one.
NBA Free Picks: San Antonio Spurs -6
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