NBA Betting Furious Free Picks - Miami Heat vs. Houston Rockets
Miami Heat (9-43) vs. Houston Rockets
(33-2)
Thursday, February 21st --- Toyota Center,
Houston --- 8:00pm EST
NBA Betting Line: Houston -10.5 (188)
The Heat
are committed to the long-term future.
Unfortunately their immediate feature
refuses to share the spotlight. Tonight
when they take on the Houston Rockets,
they’ll be looking to
avoid embarrassment and improve on their
18-33-1 ATS record this season.. But
that may prove difficult against Tracy
McGrady and the Rockets, who have won
five consecutive games.
In that
span they’ve gone 4-1
ATS and are 4-2 ATS in their last six
when playing Miami. Of course, a large
reason for that was Shaq occupying the
paint against Yao Ming. Obviously, he’s
not there anymore. Not helping matters
is that Udonis Haslem remains sidelined
with a mildly sprained ankle. That leaves
virtually nobody to defend Yao Ming,
who has 22.1 points, 10.9 rebounds and
2.4 assists per game thus far.
Shawn Marion
will have the likely and familiar task
of guarding Tracy McGrady who is second
on the rockets with 21.0 points. It
is a well known fact that McGrady’s
health has been suspect for the latter
half of his career.
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And his absence has slowed the offense
down to a 95.7 point per game average.
But that
glaring stat has been overpowered by
the Rocket’s fourth-ranked defense
which only allows 92.6 points against
per match. Miami’s road defense,
on the other hand, allows 100.8 points
per game. But that was in large part
due to having a fully healthy team. While
I have no doubt McGrady will be suffocated
by the spry Marion, who in the hell is
going to stand up to The Chairman?
At home,
Houston is a paltry 16-9 SU, due in
large part to McGrady’s
absences. Since he’s been back,
and seemingly healthy, the Rockets have
looked efficient and deadly. A double-digit
spread in this seems unfair, but the
oddsmakers are banking on the fact that
the thin backcourt for Miami will be
either no match for Yao, or experience
a world of foul trouble from the get-go.
But are
they discounting the inability of Tracy
in covering Marion? Let’s
not forget that The Matrix is a deft
scorer as well, and that him and Wade
can run the court with the best of them.
Their perimeter shooting ability has
made them a strong scoring pair, despite
the fact that that isn’t translating
in to wins. Unless Miami can make a trade
that would somehow acquire someone like
Eddy Curry, they are still going to have
a ton of trouble stopping teams with
big back courts. And they don’t
get bigger than 7-foot-6.
The Rockets
betting faithful might be a little
queasy with taking such a huge line,
but Miami is giving us no reason to
back them, especially on the road.
Houston has to make a push heading
in to the playoffs to prove that they
aren’t
just first round fodder anymore. And
stomping a mud hole in the backside of
South Beach is a great way to keep their
five-game winning streak steaming forward.’
NBA Free Pick: Houston (OVER)
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