San Francisco Giants Season Preview |
MLB
Handicapping Newswire |
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Feb
19th, 2008
By: Matt Fargo
CappersPicks.com
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Betting Trends
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2007
Record 71 Wins 91 Losses - 5th National
League West
2007 Money -$2,067
moneyline -1,414 Runline 72-84 Over/Under
2007 Review
Now that the Barry Bonds circus is over,
the Giants can concentrate on winning
baseball games and not having to deal
with home run records and steroid allegations.
He was a huge draw but this is a better
team with him gone. The Giants were a
MLB-worst -$2,067 last season, the third
straight year they were in the red. After
winning the division in 2003 and finishing
20 games over .500 in 2004, it has been
three straight losing seasons in what
has been considered as the weakest division
over that stretch.
2008 Offense
With Bonds out of the picture, the offense
definitely takes a hit but there will
no doubt be less pressure. The big acquisition
in the offseason, the only big one actually,
was outfielder Aaron Rowand who will
take over in center. He will be asked
to lead the offense as well as be the
main clubhouse leader. With hardly any
other big bats around him, Rowand might
not be seeing a whole lot of pitches
this season. Omar Vizquel hit just .246
last year, a 49-point drop from 2006.
Also in the mix are veterans Dave Roberts,
who could be traded before spring training
ends, Randy Winn, Ray Durham and Bengie
Molina.
Those names just make this offense sound
really old which it in fact is. It is
blended with some youth and none more
talented than outfielder Nate Schierholtz,
the main reason Roberts is looking to
be dealt. He hit .304 in 39 games last
season following a .348 average and 16
home runs in AAA. Kevin Frandsen and
Daniel Ortmeier could make the lineup
as rookie corners.
2008 Starting
Pitching
The potential is there for a solid rotation.
Veteran Barry Zito had a very disappointing
debut season in San Francisco as he went
11-13 with a 4.53 ERA. He pitched well
down the stretch however, going 4-3 with
a 3.33 ERA covering 12 starts in the
final two months. He will be the opening
day starter and a big season will help
the young pitchers behind him. Tim Lincecum
had a very solid rookie campaign, going
7-5 with a 4.00 ERA. Take away a horrendous
June and his ERA went down to 3.20.
Matt Cain had a rather ugly 7-16 record
but it was hardly his fault. Cain led
the Giants' starters in ERA, innings,
strikeouts and quality starts, tied for
sixth most in the National League. He
had no run support while the bullpen
blew five leads. Lefty Noah Lowry was
14-8 with a 3.92 ERA before he was shut
down with forearm tightness in the final
month. He has set a goal to stay healthy
and strong throughout the season. The
final spot will likely go to Kevin Correia.
The Giants can get a lot out of these
guys.
2008 Bullpen
Overall, the Giants were 9th in baseball
in ERA but it says a lot about the starters
as the bullpen finished 18th with a 4.12
ERA and 23 blown saves, fifth most in
MLB. Armando Benitez was the closer to
start the season last year and he was
horrible after a solid April. He lost
his job to Brad Hennessey who eventually
lost the job to Brian Wilson. Wilson
had just one blown save and his ERA of
2.28 dropped to 0.80 by removing that
one bad outing from the mix. He has already
been tabbed the opening day closer.
Middle relief is where things could be
dicey once again. Hennessey and Tyler
Walker are the leading candidates to
setup Wilson, neither of whom are overpowering.
Steve Kline and Jonathan Sanchez are
the two top lefties with the inconsistent
Jack Taschner also looking to make the
squad. The bullpen had only 355 strikeouts
last season which was second worst only
to the White Sox and there does not look
like there will be much to make that
better this year. Young starters mean
a lot of innings from the pen.
2008 Overall Outlook
Bruce Bochy certainly did not have a great
debut in the bay area but to his defense
he came into a difficult situation as he
had to try and find continuity on a team
that was clearly divided. He did some great
things with very average teams in San Diego
and if he can get the most out of his starting
pitching, the Giants could be a surprise
in the National League West. The offense
needs to hit however. San Francisco will
get some looks now that Bonds is out as
this team is not the public team it once
was.
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