Posted
on 01/28/2007 3:49 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Basketball Handicapping
Staff
Boxing Betting - Will Darchinyan Score a Z-Ro?
BetUS: Two
of the world's best in the 115-pound class
(super flyweight or junior bantamweight, whichever
you prefer) will tangle in the Philippines
on Saturday, when Vic Darchinyan, tackles Z
Gorres in his back yard. The winner will get
a shot at the IBF championship which is held
by Dimitri Kirilov.
BetUS boxing betting odds
Super Flyweights
February 2 -- Cebu City, Philippines
Z GORRES -120
VIC DARCHINYAN -110
OVER 10.5 ROUNDS -135
UNDER 10.5 ROUNDS -105
For betting purposes, let's size up the
contestants:
GORRES
(27-2-1, 15 KO's), the -120 favorite (laying
6/5) in the BetUS boxing odds, is a 5'4" southpaw
who won the Philippine flyweight title
in his 13th pro fight, and for all intents
and purposes moved to the 115-pound class
shortly after being stopped by Edgar Rodrigo
in June of 2003. He made something of a
splash in March of '05 when he stopped
Glenn Donaire, a fellow Filipino, in one
round in Las Vegas. He got his opportunity
to fight for the WBO title at 115 in February
of last year and lost a split decision to
the very formidable Fernando Montiel. In
his last fight - last August - he stopped
Eric Ortiz in eight rounds.
His opponent,
DARCHINYAN (29-1,
23 KO's), the -110 underdog (laying 11/10) at BetUS, is an Armenian
now living in Australia. He represented
Armenia in the 200 Olympics, and reportedly
lost 18 of his 176 amateur bouts. In December
of 2004 he became the first Armenian to
win a world title when he stopped previously
undefeated Irene Pacheco in eleven rounds
to capture the IBF flyweight crown. After
six successful defenses, including one
over the aforementioned Glenn Donaire,
he was developing a reputation as someone
who could be considered for top ten status
in the mythical "pound-for-pound" category.
And in a novel publicity stunt, he had taken
to "challenging" middleweights,
light heavyweights and heavyweights to fights.
Such hubris came to a screeching halt last
July, when Nonito Donaire (Glenn's brother)
stopped him in five rounds in what was a
big upset. Like most champions who lose,
Darchinyan chalked it up partly to the weight
division he was in, and so he moved up to
the 115-pound class and annexed the IBO title
in October with a 12th-round stoppage of
Federico Catubay. Like his opponent Gorres,
Darchinyan is a southpaw.
Darchinyan
is always dangerous because of his power.
And he fully expects that he will have
to knock Gorres out to win. "Because
it is in the Philippines, I'm not going to
let this go to the distance, points is very
dangerous," Darchinyan told a reporter.
Gorres is prepared to parry Darchinyan's
blows. "Gorres won’t go for a
knockout,” said Tony Aldeguer, one
of his handlers. “He’ll outbox
and outfight Darchinyan. If there’s
an opportunity to score a knockout, then
he’ll take it from there."
Off the Donaire loss, Darchinyan has a few
things to worry about. One is that there
is danger to wading in to land the big shot,
with a certain disregard for defense. This
is essentially Darchinyan's style, and against
Donaire he paid for it, being nailed again
and again by left hands and finally by a
shot left hook that put him down and eventually
out, to the point where they had to call
for the stretcher.
Inasmuch as he has already expressed that
he intends to go for broke, and considering
that he has assessed things rather correctly
about the home bias Gorres enjoys, he may
feel no choice but to employ such a strategy.
But Gorres is a good enough counter-puncher
to take advantage. Darchinyan provided a
pretty good blueprint from that loss, and
it isn't often that raw puncher types are
able to become polished enough to box on
even terms with fighters who are naturally
finesse-oriented.
The feeling here is that if Gorres can measure
his opponent, and can avoid getting involved
in a brawl (as his handler asserts he will),
he will maintain a clear advantage throughout
the fight. Filipino fans, who are rabid,
will influence the judges, and Gorres will
win the decision.
So we're taking the Z-man, the -120 favorite
in the BetUS boxing betting odds.
Free Boxing Picks: JAY'S PLAY: GORRES (-120)
** (Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
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