Posted
on 12/14/2007 10:20 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Betting Trends - Tennessee (7-6) at Kansas City (4-9)
The Tennessee
Titans are trying to keep their season
from falling completely apart after dropping
four of their last five games including
last week’s 23-17
overtime loss to the San Diego Chargers.
The Titans were 6-2 after eight games
and looking like a solid playoff lock but
find themselves now looking up at the Jacksonville
Jaguars and Cleveland Browns in the race
for the final wild-card spot in the AFC,
Tennessee allowed a whopping 175 yards
between the final 2:24 of regulation and
overtime against the Chargers before falling
in OT.
The Kansas City Chiefs are tied with San
Francisco 49ers for the seventh-worst rush
defense in the league, giving up 123.5
yards per game.
The Chiefs
allowed a season-high 215 rushing yards
in last Sunday's 41-7 loss to the Denver
Broncos in a game head coach Herman Edwards
called his team’s worst performance
of the season.
The Chiefs
enter this game with six consecutive
losses, including last week’s 41-7
shellacking at the hands of the Denver
Broncos.
The Titans, (7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS, 4-8-1 O/U)
are ranked 21st in overall offense, averaging
310.1 yards and 19.2 points per game and
sixth in overall defense, allowing 297.6
yards and 20.3 points per game.
The Kansas City Chiefs, (4-9 SU, 5-7-1
ATS, 6-7 O/U) are ranked 31st in overall
offense, averaging 269.0 yards and 13.8
points per game. The Chiefs are ranked
13th in overall defense, allowing 323.6
yards and 20.8 points per game.
Here is a
look at tonight’s key
trends, followed by my analysis and free
NFL picks.
Key Titans Trends
The Titans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last
six games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
The Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last five
games after accumulating less than 150
yards passing in their previous game.
The Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last nine
games in Week 15.
Key Chiefs Trends
The Chiefs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last
eleven games as a home underdog.
The Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last ten
home games vs. a team with a winning road
record.
The Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven
games in December.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-0-1 in Titans last six games
in December.
The Over is 4-0 in Titans last four games
in Week 15.
The Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last seven
games after accumulating less than 150
yards passing in their previous game.
The Over is 5-1 in Chiefs last six games
after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing
in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last
four meetings.
Analysis: This game is an absolute lock
NFL bettors. Though they are on the road
this week, the Tennessee Titans are by
farm the better team in this contest. Despite
their recent struggles, take the Tennessee
Titans to win this matchup outright and
cover the 4.5-point spread in the process.
NFL Free Picks: Tennessee -4.5 Points/Under
34.5 Totals Points
01:00 PM EST
Tennessee
Titans -4½ -110
Kansas City
Chiefs +4½ -110
Over 34½ -110
Under 34½ -110
> > Check
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