Posted
on 11/22/2007 8:39:45 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Betting Free Picks - Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns
Preview - Who thought
at the onset of the season that we could
get excited about a Cleveland Browns game
where they take on the Houston Texans?
The rejuvenated Texans hit the road against
Cleveland as road dogs. This one should
be a barn burner as both offenses prepare
to set the scoreboard on fire like a Salem
witch.
Houston Offense vs. Cleveland Defense
With Matt
Schaub and Andre Johnson at full healthy,
this Houston offense looks completely
different so it’s almost
impossible to gauge them entirely on stats.
Against a poor Saints secondary, Schaub
threw two touchdown passes to Johnson and
accumulated 293 yards in the process. The
good news? Cleveland has the second worst
passing defense in the league. They allow
269.5 passing yards against, even with
their full complement of starters.
The rushing defense is equally atrocious,
ranking twenty-eighth and allowing 136.8
yards on the ground against. With the passing
game firing on all cylinders, Ron Dayne
has actually looked decent. He averaged
4.2 yards per carry last weekend and totaled
89 yards.
The Texans can essentially move the chains
and score on a fair chunk of their possessions.
And if the passing or rushing offenses
stall, then Kris Brown is more than capable
of booting the ball home for some points
regardless.
Cleveland Offense vs. Houston Defense
The Browns offense has been the exact
opposite of their defense. Derek Anderson
is setting himself for a mega contract
this summer as the Browns have averaged
242.2 passing yards per game, while Jamal
Lewis has steadied them to 104.4 yards
on the ground.
The receiving combo of Kellen Winslow
Jr. and Braylon Edwards is emerging as
a deadly combination. The Houston Texans
average 211.1 passing yards against, but
their corners lack the size and speed to
keep up with Braylon. The matchup of Kellen
against any linebacker is unfair.
But the Houston
front-seven is strong and can break through
to shut down Jamal Lewis. Mario Williams
has silently been proving why he was
chosen number-one overall. Houston’s
defense is fairly strong, but Cleveland
is enormously efficient at putting points
up on the board.
NFL Betting Trends
-Houston is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
-Houston is 4-17 SU in their last 21 games
on the road
-Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in their last 5
games
-Cleveland is 4-1 ATS and SU in their
last 5 home games
-total has
gone OVER IN 5 of Cleveland’s
last 5 games at home
Final Verdict
It’s very easy to get excited about
Houston’s offense after last week’s
offensive output. The question is whether
they can do it again. Johnson looks like
he has fully recovered from that knee injury,
but he has no support unless you count
Andre Davis (which you shouldn’t).
Cleveland has been scorching scoreboards
all season, and while their defense has
obvious deficiencies, this team is too
proud and strong to lose a game in front
of their beloved Dog Pound.
Houston looks
great, but Cleveland’s
betting faithful can rest assured that
the Cleveland offense is simply too good
to be contained by this stingy Houston
defense. I’ll believe in Schaub-Johnson
if they can do that consistently, but nobody
should be throwing their money at a team
that only has one viable scoring threat
against a team that has three.
Houston Texans (5-5) vs. Cleveland Browns
(6-4)
Sunday, November 25th --- Cleveland Browns
Stadium, Cleveland --- 1:00pm EST
Opening NFL Betting Line: Cleveland -4
(52.5)
NFL Free Pick: Houston 28 Cleveland 34
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