Posted
on 11/30/2007 2:44 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
Monday Night Football
- Bet on NFL - New England Patriots vs.
Baltimore Ravens
MNF Preview
Can Kyle
Boller do what A.J. Feeley nearly did
against the Patriots? The answer is inevitably “no”. However, with
a massive spread going against the Patriots,
can Baltimore rally enough to cover this
ridiculous spread? Seriously, this is the
biggest spread in the NFL betting odds
this season. It’s almost as big as
the average college game spread!
New England Offense vs. Baltimore Defense
If you hadn’t
been following this season, you would
think the Baltimore defense would stand
a chance against the Brady Bunch in this
game. But the Ravens defense has been
nothing short of pathetic. The once-great
passing defense is now ranked fifteenth
in the league and allows 213.5 passing
yards per game. The rush defense has
been the saving grace for this team,
giving up an impressive 77.9 rushing
yards.
But Tom Brady
is simply going to be too much for this
defense. Everyone keeps talking about
Philadelphia’s defense providing
a blueprint for how to beat the Patriots,
but that is nothing but a load of bull.
Tom Brady was off. He missed two key throws
to Moss and Welker that would’ve
essentially put the game out of reach.
He was throwing around, above and behind
his receivers for the first time this 2007
season. And he still managed 380 yards
and a touchdown. How scary is that?
Brady and the offense will return to form
and the betting investor can rest assured
that the Patriots will return to their
spread crushing ways of the best. Baltimore
lacks the proper speed at linebacker to
cover guys like Ben Watson, and lack the
height to cover both Donte Stallworth and
Randy Moss. Bet on the Patriots offense
to drop bombs all over the field as the
Baltimore defense scrambles to make adjustments.
Baltimore Offense vs. New England Defense
The reason
this spared is so big is because Baltimore’s offense has averaged
16.5 points per game. Barring the 30-point
effort against Cleveland in Week 11, Baltimore
was averaging 10.5 points per game in the
last four games. That’s atrocious.
The Patriots will also have the inside
track with Adalius Thomas, who knows this
defense inside and out. Thomas was brought
in during an off-season signing and has
been a big part of the defense in New England.
The Patriots will focus on stuffing Willis
McGahee. The Pats give up only 86.2 yards
on the ground, and with the score getting
out of hand, Boller will be forced to through.
New England
gives up 195.6 passing yards, but Boller
throws ducks like he’s
trying to make friends with Ducks Unlimited
Hunting Club. The receiving corps in Baltimore
is simply not impressive enough to warrant
any love from the betting investor.
NFL Betting Trends
-New England is 14-3 ATS in its last 17
games
-Baltimore is 1-10 ATS this season
-total has
gone OVER in 5 of New England’s
last 7 road games
-New England is 4-0 SU against Baltimore
dating back to 1995
Final Verdict
Need I say
more? Brady will return to his poetic
form on Monday night as he trounces the
Ravens’ secondary. Look for him
to get back on track as Brian Billick and
the Ravens are left wondering what the
hell they are doing playing football in
the NFL. The Ravens are one of the worst
teams in the league this year, and Monday
Night will be no exception.
New England Patriots (11-0) vs. Baltimore
Ravens (4-7)
Monday, December
3rd --- M&T Bank
Stadium, Baltimore --- 8:30pm EST
NFL Betting Odds Opening Line: New England
-20 (51.5)
NFL Free Pick: New England 43 Baltimore
9
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