Posted
on 12/07/2007 9:37:45 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
Betting On NFL Football
- Rams vs. Bengals - Paul Brown Stadium,
Cincinnati, Ohio
RAMS (3-9)
VS. BENGALS (4-8)
Sunday, December 9, 2007
Amazing, really that a team playing as
poorly as the Bengals can be favored in
any game by a touchdown on the NFL betting
lines. This is especially true for this
game, because although the Rams have just
a 3-9 record, they are 3-1 in their last
four games and their offensive line is
gelling right now. That, plus the fact
that he is mostly healed now, makes things
much easier for star running back Steven
Jackson to play like everyone expected
him to play every game this season.
It bears
noting that the East Coast has had some
pretty bad weather as of late, and things
are not looking good in Cincinnati over
the weekend. If the weather is bad, the
Rams will feed the rock to Jackson all
day long. Considering the Bengals struggles
against the run this year, he could have
a monster day. His punishing style will
wear down Cincy’s front seven early
and keep Carson Palmer and the dangerous
receivers he has at his disposal on the
sidelines.
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Even in the
passing game, the Rams have the advantage
coming into this game, no matter the
starting QB. As far as starting NFL betting
corners go, Cincinnati’s
duo of Joseph and Hall strike fear into
the heart of absolutely no one. Meanwhile,
Rams receivers Holt and Bruce are better
than average at worst and Holt is definitely
near the top of the heap on a good day.
Even the Bengals
offensive numbers actually point to an
easy cover of this seven-point football
betting spread. Their passing numbers are
falsely inflated as they have been racked
up in blowout games. In close games, the
passing game has struggled mightily. The
running game has been shaky with Rudi Johnson
playing, but he is getting the bulk of
the snaps back from Kenny Watson now that
he is healthy again. While Rudi was down,
Watson was actually playing better football.
If
the weather report does not change, this
game is the gimme of the week, as the Rams
are no longer as bad as their record would
indicate, while the Cincy pass attack will
be rendered ineffective, as Jackson will
wear down the clock as well as the defense.
The NFL betting total for this game is
47.5 points in the BetUS Sportsbook, and
the under is a best bet, as is a cover
by St. Louis.
Some NFL Trends
The total has gone
UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis's last 12 games
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Listed below is a summary of the games
results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
ST LOUIS is 3-1 against the spread versus
CINCINNATI since 1992
ST LOUIS is 3-1 straight up against CINCINNATI
since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER
THE TOTAL since 1992
All games played at CINCINNATI since 1992
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus
ST LOUIS since 1992
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against ST
LOUIS since 1992
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER
THE TOTAL since 1992
As indicated by
the movement of the line, the betting public
is favoring CINCINNATI in this
game. As indicated by the movement of the
total, the betting public is favoring The
UNDER in this game
Cappers NFL Free
Pick
This is a tough one
to predict, but I'm going to have to give
the Edge to the Bengals ONLY because they're
the home team. They'll want to end the
season on a positive note and will put
on a good show for the home crowd. Moneyline
Pick = Bengals, however ATS Pick I'm taking
the Rams to beat the spread. Close game
in Cinci.
> > Check
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