Posted
on 12/07/2007 8:39:45 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
Football Betting Trends - Oakland at Green Bay
The Green
Bay Packer’s waking dream-like
season was rudely interrupted last week
at Texas Stadium when they were outmatched
by the Dallas Cowboys. Under pressure,
Brett Favre was out of sync going 5-for-14
for 56 yards with two interceptions and
a career-low 8.9 passer rating before being
knocked out of the game in the second quarter.
However, Favre’s charmed season continued
as he was voted SI’s Sporstman of
the Year – a nice consolation after
a dodgy lackluster performance. Favre is
still feeling (if “numbness” is
a feeling?) the effects of the hit he took
last week, but will start for the 250th
consecutive time as the Packers strive
to clinch their first NFC North title in
three seasons with a win against Oakland
come Sunday. The Week 14 line has the Pack
comfortably favored by (-10 ½) and
the football betting public seems convinced
Green Bay will rebound in a big way.
With Favre
banged up, the Packers will lean heavily
on running back Ryan Grant against a
Raiders defense that ranks 30th against
the run (giving up 148 yards a game).
Grant was one of the few bright spots
last week in Dallas rushing for 94 yards
and two scores on 14 carries. Grant runs
with his pads down, has great cut-back
ability and the speed to go the distance
has he showed last week with an explosive
62-yard touchdown run. A promising sign
for the Raiders is that their defense held
the Broncos to less than 100 yards rushing
last week helping to secure their second
straight victory in a row. Protecting their
quarterback will be a priority for Green
Bay’s reshuffled offensive line.
Raider’s defensive end Derrick Burgess
(5 sacks) can get pressure from the outside
and speed rushing linebacker Chris Clemons
has six sacks. The Raiders excel defending
the pass where they rank 5th in the league
and have not given up multiple touchdown
passes in game this season. Favre will
look to get the ball to receivers Greg
Jennings who will be blanked by corner
Nnamdi Asomugha and Donald Driver. Rookie
Greg Jennings should post solid numbers
lining up wide on the right side. Versatile
Raiders linebackers Thomas Howard and Kirk
Morrison have combined for eight interceptions
and should be able to limit Donald Lee’s
effectiveness in the passing game.
Last week
# 1 draft pick JaMarcus Russell saw his
first game action running 16 plays while
going 4-for-7 for 56 yards, but the story
of the game was starter Josh McCown who
threw for 141 yards and three touchdowns.
The Raiders will look to establish the
run with Justin Fargas who has been the
most productive back in the league since
Week 8 totaling 591 rushing yards. The
Packers have played the run well this season
at the point of attack and with the sure
tackling of linebackers Nick Barnett and
A.J. Hawk, but the defensive line has been
thinned by injuries and Fargas has breakaway
speed to contend with. McCown will look
to get the ball to receivers Jerry Porter
and Ronald Curry against a Packers secondary
looking to right itself after a poor performance
last week. They’ve struggled to cover
tight ends all season long, so McCown should
be able to hook with Zach Miller who hauled
in a touchdown last week against Denver.
Packers’ corner Charles Woodsen will
likely miss another start with a toe injury.
Green Bay
is 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games following
an ATS loss and 4-0 ATS after allowing
more than 250 yards passing. The Raiders
won consecutive games for the first time
this season and are 5-2 ATS versus a
team with a winning record. Green Bay’s
offense will rely on the run and protecting
Favre for their Playoff run.
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