Posted
on 11/09/2007 12:50 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Winners - Take
it or Leave it: Week 10
I should
know better, but counting my money before
it’s in the bank is
always something that’s tempting
to do. And it’s something I was doing
last week before Brett Favre decided to
connect with Greg Jennings for a TD that
left Kansas City bettors, and fans, stunned.
Kansas City had kept Favre, and the rest
of the Green Bay offense, in check all
game and with a 22-16 lead heading into
the final five minutes, I thought the Kansas
City defense was ready to shut the show
down and head home.
It was all good until, for the second
week in a row, Favre launched a bomb which
Greg Jennings caught and ran in for a touchdown.
It was the beginning of the end. Green
Bay went on to score 17 points in the final
3:05 to win 33-22 as two-point underdogs.
That was my first NFL Pick of the Week
loss in over a month. At 5-3-1, I’ve
still made more money than I’ve coughed
up, and that’s always a bonus.
This week,
I’m gonna dip into the
Sunday Night Football matchup for the first
time this season. Bettors are all over
Indy for this matchup, with 92% of the
action being placed on Indianapolis.
As slim
3 ½-point favorites, there’s
a lot of reason to like Indy in this game.
But the Chargers shouldn’t be forgotten
about just yet.
San Diego,
one of the preseason favorites to win
the AFC this season, was embarrassed
in Week 2 by New England and again last
week by Minnesota. The Chargers defense
let Vikings’ rookie running back
Adrian Peterson run all over them for a
record 296 rushing yards.
The end
result, a 35-17 loss, wasn’t
pretty for the Chargers and hopes of a
Super Bowl party are fading fast. What
better way to restore the hope than with
a strong showing against one of the elite
teams in the NFL.
The Chargers have played the defending
champs tough and covered the spread in
the last two meetings between these two
teams, including an outright win as a seven-point
dog the last time they met San Diego has
always run the ball well against Indy and
while the Colts defense is statistically
better against the run this season, teams
have proven that they are vulnerable. New
England ran the ball effectively last weekend
before resorting to the air attack to sneak
out the late victory.
A few weeks back, Denver rushed for over
200 yards against the Colts D. The opportunity
for LaDainian Tomlinson and backup running
back Michael Turner to have a big game
this weekend is there.
And if the
San Diego defense doesn’t
show up after last week’s embarrassment,
they never will. This group was shown up
by a rookie and they should be raging mad.
There’s no better time to take back
some respect than shutting down quarterback
Peyton Manning, his elite receivers and
running back Joseph Addai.
I’m in the minority, but I like
the Chargers. There’s too much at
stake for the team to hang their heads
after last week. It’s time to show
up, get the job done against one of the
league’s best and prove to everyone
they deserved the preseason hype they received.
Free Pick:
I'm taking the Chargers at +4. Take it or Leave it.
-Cras
NOTE: As always, my picks are not guaranteed.
I am not an expert handicapper and everything
I say can, and likely will, blow up in
my face. Take my thoughts, or leave them,
simple as that.
NOTE:
All picks based on Sportsbook.com opening
odds
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