Posted
on 11/17/2007 12:50 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
Take it or Leave it: Week 11
Moneyline - Cardinals
(+150) vs Bengals (-170)
Spread - Cardinals (+3) vs. Bengals (-3)
Over/Under 48
It’s
hard to decide what I loved more last week.
The cash I won with my Chargers’ pick
or Peyton Manning throwing his hands up
in disgust with every interception and
incomplete pass.
While most
of America loves Manning, I love watching
him fail. Why this guy became the face
of the NFL, I’ll never know.
Yes, he’s talented but he’s
not a guy I want as a role model for my
kids.
The guy is
not a team player. Don’t
believe me? Just watch his reaction every
time a pass is incomplete. First he shrugs
his shoulders, then he points to the receiver
with a look of “I can’t believe
you dropped my pass, it was perfect,” while
shaking his head in disgust before finally
returning to the huddle.
Not to mention
the fact that, in a game when he threw
six interceptions and led directly to
his team’s loss, he had
the nerve to undermine the coaching staff
on the bench. And who can forget when Manning
threw his entire offensive line under the
bus after the AFC Championship loss to
Pittsburgh a few years back?
That was one of the best offensive lines
in football, not to mention teammates that
stood by him for years, and he showed them
up in a post-game press conference. Good
Job!
The examples
are endless and I could rant all day
but at some point you want my pick. Just
so you don’t forget, after last
week’s victory, my NFL Pick of the
Week record improves to 6-3-1 this season.
If you’ve been betting against my
favorite weekly pick, it’s been a
rough season and a rough last few weeks
as I’ve gone 4-1-1 since Week 4.
This week,
I’ve got my eyes set
on the matchup between the Arizona Cardinals
and the Cincinnati Bengals. Entering the
season with high expectations, Cincinnati
was 2-6 heading into last weekend’s
game with the Ravens.
A victory
over the Ravens seems to have won the
public back. So far, 73% of bettors are
backing the Bengals who enter this weekend’s
home game against the Cardinals as three-point
favorites.
But at what point do you stop believing
the hype? The Bengals have been a hyped
team for a number of years but they only
have one season, an 11-5 2005 campaign,
where the record backs that hype.
You have
to remember that two of the Bengals’ three
victories this season came against the
Ravens. Baltimore’s offense, or lack
of it, can be attributed to both losses
as they turned over the ball 12 times in
those two games. Take away half of those
turnovers and the Bengals might still be
at the one or two win mark right now.
I realize
Arizona also fits the mold of a hyped
team that hasn’t lived up
to the billing over the past few seasons
but, unlike the Ravens last week, the Cardinals
will put points on the board. Arizona also
has a few credible wins this season, notably
the victories against Seattle and Pittsburgh.
Against a
porous Cincinnati defense, you know Cardinals’ running
back Edgerrin James will have one of
his better showings of the year. Receivers
Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald are
both healthy and Kurt Warner is showing
no lingering effects from an elbow injury.
Free Pick: It's all looking good for Arizona this week and that's why I'm taking them at +3. Take it or Leave it.
-Cras
NOTE: As always, my picks are not guaranteed.
I am not an expert handicapper and everything
I say can, and likely will, blow up in
my face. Take my thoughts, or leave them,
simple as that.
NOTE:
All picks based on Sportsbook.com opening
odds
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