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When the New England Patriots (-14) attempt
to rewrite many pages in history books
against the Giants (+14) in New York on
Saturday, the entire NFL betting community
will be in attendance. The game was originally
scheduled to be shown only on the NFL Network,
but will instead be aired on national television
beginning at 8:00pm EST.
Already the first team to go 15-0 SU (straight
up) in a regular season, New England now
tries to join the 1972 Miami Dolphins as
the only teams to take an unbeaten record
into the playoffs. The Patriots are 10-5
ATS (against the spread) on the year.
In addition to their record breaking pursuit
for perfection, Tom Brady and Randy Moss
have impressive league records within their
reach this week, and New England seems
unlikely to rest many starters despite
having the AFC's top seed wrapped up. That
could be the difference between a money-making
win or a bankroll busting effort.
Brady needs two touchdown passes to break
Peyton Manning's record of 49 and Moss
is two touchdowns receptions away from
surpassing Jerry Rice's record of 22.
New England does not get to play this
one at home, but could benefit from the
fact New York is locked into the No. 5
seed in the NFC and might want to rest
some starters because it does not have
a first-round bye. The Giants will visit
Tampa Bay in a wild-card game next weekend.
No opponent has been able to defensively
stop the Patriots, whose 551 points leave
them needing just six to break the league's
single-season record set by the 1998 Minnesota
Vikings.
New England is scoring a robust 36.7 points
per game and racking up 412.7 yards, both
an NFL-best.
Another record within the Patriots' grasp
is the one for consecutive regular-season
victories. They already have tied their
own league record by winning 18 straight.
New England has failed to cover the spread
in four of its last five games and has
not dominated teams as it did during the
first half of the season. Four of its previous
six wins were by 10 points or less before
it failed to score in the second half last
week against a one-win Miami team in a
28-7 money-dropping victory as the 22-point
favorites.
- Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5
games following a SU win.
- Patriots are 20-6 ATS in their last
26 games following a SU win of more than
14 points.
- Patriots are 36-15-1 ATS in their last
52 games after allowing less than 15 points
in their previous game.
Brady threw two interceptions in that
victory, increasing his season total to
eight, and completed less than 55 percent
of his passes for the third time in four
weeks, but he managed to throw for 215
yards and three touchdowns. He enters this
game 105 yards shy of Drew Bledsoe's 1994
club record of 4,555.
One area of concern for head coach Bill
Belichick may be his run defense, having
allowed an average of 136.3 yards per game
and 5.0 per carry this month.
- Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8
games in Week 17.
- Patriots are 6-2-1 ATS in their last
9 Saturday games.
- Patriots are 15-7 ATS in their last
22 games in December.
- Patriots are 41-18-3 ATS vs. a team
with a winning record.
- Patriots are 30-12-1 ATS in their last
43 road games.
- Patriots are 58-28-3 ATS in their last
89 games overall.
The Giants ran for 291 yards last week,
their most since 1959, in a 38-21 win at
Buffalo as they clinched their third straight
playoff spot as the 1-point favorites.
They have now covered the spread in three
of their last four games and are 9-6 ATS
this season.
- Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
following a SU win.
- Giants are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9
games after scoring more than 30 points
in their previous game.
The Giants are scoring 22.5 points per
game and collecting 332.4 yards, meanwhile,
they are allowing 20.9 points and 299.3
yards on defense.
New York has previously knocked off a
team pursuing perfection late in a season
and it came at Giants Stadium, handing
a 13-0 Denver team its first defeat on
Dec. 13, 1998.
This Giants team, though, has not won
a home game SU since Oct. 21 against lowly
San Francisco, losing three in a row. At
3-4 SU and ATS, New York is the only team
to have qualified for the playoffs that
does not have a winning home record.
- Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
in Week 17.
- Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday
games.
- Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
in December.
- Giants are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12
home games.
- Giants are 9-4 ATS in their last 13
games overall.
NFL odds
list New England the 14-point favorites
with a game total of 46½.
The Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last
eight games in Week 17 and they're 12-3
ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite.
New England has covered the spread in ten
of their games, meanwhile, the Giants are
9-6 ATS on the year and 10-5 SU.
Analysis: A regular season finale that
will have no effect on the playoff picture
has never meant so much. The Giants are
more likely to rest their starters then
the Patriots with all the records within
reach for New England.
Belichick won't call of the dogs until
his club has a comfortable lead and all
records are broken. A Patriots club versus
a team resting its starters for a majority
of the game makes for an easy cover win
for New England.
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