Posted
on 12/12/2007 1:55 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
Football Betting - New York Jets at New England Patriots
The New England Patriots (13-0 SU, 10-3
ATS) are still winning, and still scoring
their share of points, But they've been
slowed up justa bit in recent weeks. Can
the New York Jets (3-10 SU, 4-8-1 ATS),
having a difficult season, especially on
defense, serve as a stumbling block for
the Belichick Express? We'll find out in
this game that is scheduled for a 1 PM
EST kickoff at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro,
MA (artificial turf).
In the BetUS NFL football betting odds,
New England is listed at -24.5 with the
total posted at 51 points.
First, let's take a look at the TOTALS-RELATED
pro football stats and NFL betting trends
concerning this matchup:
* NE has played 10 OVERS in 13 games this
season
* NE has played seven of its last nine
games OVER the total
* NE has gone OVER the total in five of
six home games in '07
* NE has played 15 of its last 19 games
OVER the total
* NY has played four of its last six games
UNDER the total
* NY has played four of its 13 games OVER
the total this season
* Four of the last five meetings have
gone OVER the total
For those of not altogether familiar with
the story, the Patriots were tried and
convicted by the NFL for violating league
rules in the first game of the season when
they were videotaped stealing the Jets'
defensive signals. Bill Belichick was fined
$500,000 and the Pats lost draft picks.
It is widely suspected that Jets' coach
Eric Mangini blew the whistle on his former
mentor.
Belichick was already reportedly upset
that Mangini had left his staff to take
the Jets' job last year - staying within
the same division in the process - and
this will greatly aggravate the situation,
because in some quarters, the legitimacy
of the Patriots' unbeaten season has been
mildly questioned. With those conditions
in place, plus the fact that New England
scores 38 ppg at home, together with the
proposition that Belichick likes to run
up the score to boot, make this a potentially
explosive situation, to say the least.
The Jets are giving up 26 points a game
on the road. Maybe it would be standard
to double that as a projection in this
case. But look - Tom Brady faced off against
a defense that had been yielding just 231
yards a game and passed for 399 yards against
it, even though Pittsburgh knew what he
was going to do, as New England went almost
exclusively to the air in the second half.
What can Brady and the Pats accomplish
against the Jets' defense, which is ranked
27th in the NFL, surrendering an average
of 350 yards?
And with Kellen Clemens at the controls,
how much can the Jets do to hold up their
end of the bargain? Not as much as they
would with Chad Pennington, but New York
does have a 21 ppg average away from home.
We hear the
cliche so many times about "statement" games.
this one, however, has the elements to
truly fit the bill. As far as their piracy
of the Jets' defensive strategy, I'm sure
the Pats will want to make a statement
with particular emphasis here. A painful
one for the Jets, maybe, but not for us,
as we watch their opponents possibly take
care of this total all by themselves. The
pointspread, hovering around three touchdowns
and a field goal, may be prohibitive to
some, but the total is not, and we'll go "over" the
51 points, as it is posted in the BetUS
football betting odds.
BetUS NFL football betting odds: NEW ENGLAND
-24.5, Total 51
NOTABLE STAT: New England is averaging
one point for every 11 yards gained
KEY NFL FOOTBALL
BETTING TREND: New England has played
of 13 games "over" the
total this year
NFL Free Pick: JAY'S PLAY: OVER 51
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