Posted
on 12/13/2007 10:55 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Wagering - Jacksonville (9-4) at Pittsburgh (9-4)
While the
Pittsburgh Steelers were handed a thorough ‘Smackdown’ by the
New England Patriots last week – losing
34-13 after shooting off their collective
mouths – they enter their final home
regular season game with a perfect 7-0
record at Heinz Field that they will be
looking to keep that way against a feisty
Jacksonville team that has won four of
their last five.
The Steelers,
(9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS, 5-8 O/U) are ranked
14th in overall offense, averaging 333.3
yards and 23.8 points per game but still
have the league’s No. 1 overall
defense, allowing a miniscule 245.5 yards
and 14.5 points per game.
The Jacksonville Jaguars, (9-4 SU, 9-4
ATS, 8-4-1 O/U) are ranked 10th in overall
offense, averaging 344.6 yards and 23.5
points per game. The Jaguars are ranked
17th in overall defense, allowing 330.7
yards and 17.6 points per game.
The Jaguars
have gotten a spectacular season from
starting quarterback David Garrard who
has thrown for 2,113 yards and 13 touchdowns
with just one interception in the 10
games he's played. Garrard’s
103.3 quarterback rating is third in the
NFL.
Here is a
look at tonight’s key
trends, followed by my analysis and free
NFL Betting odds.
Key Jaguars Trends
The Jaguars are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with
a winning record.
The Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their last
five games on grass.
The Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their last
five road games vs. a team with a winning
home record.
Key Steelers Trends
The Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last
four games after scoring less than 15 points
in their previous game.
The Steelers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last
eight games after allowing more than 250
yards passing in their previous game.
The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last
six games following a S.U. loss.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-0 in Jaguars last five games
as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
The Over is 6-0 in Jaguars last six games
as a road underdog.
The Under is 4-0 in Steelers last four
games after allowing more than 350 total
yards in their previous game.
The Over is 5-0 in Steelers last five
home games vs. a team with a winning road
record.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last
four meetings.
The Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last
six meetings.
The Under is 8-3 in the last eleven meetings.
Analysis:
While I like the Steelers to keep their
home record perfect with a win here against
the Jaguars, I think this game has the
look and feel of a ‘field-goal
game.’ I say the win goes to the
Steelers but the cover goes to the Jags.
NFL Betting Free Picks: Jaguars +3.5 Points/Under
36.5 Points
01:00 PM EST
Jacksonville
Jaguars +3½ -110
Pittsburgh
Steelers -3½ -110
Over 36½ -110
Under 36½ -110
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