Posted
on 11/30/2007 2:44 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Betting - Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts
Preview
The Jacksonville
Jaguars are starting to show a startling
amount of resolve as they prowl their way
towards the playoffs. A win in this game,
on the road against Indianapolis, would
put them in a dead heat with their division
rival. A win for the Colts all but seals
their AFC South title aspirations. Can
the Jags extend an impressive three game
winning streak?
Jacksonville Offense vs. Indianapolis
Defense
After surviving the Quinn Gray Experience
of 2007, David Garrard has returned to
save this team once more. He is playing
incredibly smart football, having still
not thrown an interception this season.
Since returning, Garrard has averaged 242.5
passing yards and logged three touchdowns
in two games.
However, Indianapolis is a tough team
to throw against. They usually hold off
opponents to 161.9 passing yards and are
third in the league in points allowed (only
15.2 points per game). In their last meeting,
the Colts held Garrard and the Jaguars
to seven points.
Jacksonville
will have trouble revving up the rushing
game against Indianapolis’s
tough rushing defense. The Colts give up
102.9 rush yards per game, but Bob Sanders
should be fully healthy once more, making
life terribly unfortunate for Fred Taylor
and Maurice Jones-Drew. The Colts defense
rarely gives up big plays, and Jacksonville
lacks the receiver set, or the rushing
attack, to bust off big plays in the face
of the third best defense in the NFL.
Indianapolis Offense vs. Jacksonville
Defense
The Colts played smart against Jacksonville
last time and will play keep-away ball
once more. Joseph Addai does not seem to
be slowed by his injury this week, and
even if he is, Kenton Keith is a suitable
replacement. The Colts average 123.6 rushing
yards per game and Jacksonville gives up
99.7 yards per game on the ground.
Peyton Manning will have a full complement
of receiver, minus Marvin Harrison who
remains out with a knee injury. The Colts
average 248.4 passing yards per game and
Peyton Manning is deadly through the air
- which is exactly why the Colts will run
the ball on Sunday.
Jacksonville
will come out with more defensive-backs
in this game to counter Peyton’s
offensive efficiency in a dome setting.
That being said, the Colts have the third
best home rushing offense (144.4 yards
per home game) and will use it to take
control of the clock and keep the Jaguars
offensive opportunities to a minimum. The
Jaguars have size on defense, but they
lack speed. And the Colts are all about
finesse and velocity downhill.
NFL Betting Trends
-Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5
games on the road
-Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5
games when playing Indianapolis
-Indianapolis is 14-2 SU in its last 16
games
-total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis
last 6 games
-Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6
games when playing Jacksonville
Final Verdict
The Jaguars
need this game to make a statement that
they have arrived and ready to compete
for an opportunity to get molested by the
Patriots in the playoffs. However, downing
the rival Colts will be a daunting task.
The Colts are undefeated in their division
and that is a betting trend you can expect
to continue. Jacksonville won’t get
enough chances to score points in this
game, while Indy plays smart, short-yard
football as they control the clock and
take the victory in the RCA Dome.
Jacksonville Jaguars (8-3) vs. Indianapolis
Colts (9-2)
Sunday, December 2nd --- RCA Dome, Indianapolis
--- 1:00pm EST
Opening NFL Betting Line: Indianapolis
-7 (45)
NFL Free Pick: Jacksonville 10 Indianapolis
24
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