Posted
on 12/14/2007 4:05 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
Football Betting Action - Atlanta
Falcons at Tampa Bay Bucs
It seems as if the Atlanta Falcons (3-9
SU, 6-6 ATS) have been to hell and back
this season. They will forge ahead, without
coach Bobby Petrino, as they travel to
Raymond James Stadium in Tampa (grass)
to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-5 SU,
7-5-1 ATS) in a game that kicks off at
1 PM EST on Sunday.
In the BetUS NFL football odds, the Bucs
are a 14.5-point favorite, with the total
posted at 39 points.
Here are some of the NFL football betting
trends and stats relative to this matchup:
* ATL has covered just one of its last
five games
* ATL has won three of its last 16 games
SU
* ATL has played 15 UNDERS in its last
22 games
* ATL has won one of its last seven road
games SU
* ATL has played ten UNDERS in its last
11 road games
* TB has covered
four of its last five games
* TB has covered five of its last six
home games
* TB has played four of its last five
home games UNDER the total
* TB has won 10 of the last 14 meetings
SU
* TB has won four of the last six meetings
at home SU
* Thirteen of the last 19 meetings have
gone OVER the total
Jeff Garcia comes
back to the Tampa Bay Bucs lineup (back
bruise) after Luke McCown went 1-1 as the
starter at QB. The Bucs, who lost their
top two running backs earlier in the schedule,
have quietly come to within one game of
winning the NFC South title and a berth
in the playoffs. Ernest Graham looks like
he may have a chance at 1000 yards rushing.
Ike Hilliard (58 catches) and Joey Galloway
(55) have been steady threats for Garcia,
who has thrown only three interceptions
on the season. The Tampa Bay defense has
been solid all year long (allowing 289
ypg). And opponents have scored only 12.1
ppg in Raymond James Stadium. the Buccaneers
have won four of their last five, including
a 31-7 win over Atlanta a month ago, in
which the Falcons had only 49 rushing yards
and committed four turnovers.
This game is intriguing for us because
it presents a dynamic that is highly unusual.
If you listen to the comments from most
of the Atlanta players after the unceremonious,
middle-of-the-night departure of Bobby
Petrino, it appears they didn't respect
the guy very much to begin with, and are
probably relieved and happy that he is
gone. In other words, this may be the one
thing that unites the team unlike anything
else.
I would expect
that there is a more relaxed atmosphere
now, and that Jerious Norwood (6.2 ypc,
25 catches), for whatever reason the
most under-used weapon in the NFL, will
get some extra playing time. Since the
Falcons have found a go-to receiver in
Roddy White (995 yards) and a quarterback
who might be able to take them the rest
of the way (Chris Redman, who threw for
298 yards and two TD's last Monday), they
have the makings of an attack. And Emmitt
Thomas, who has been waiting more than
a decade for his big chance, will not lack
focus as the "interim" coach,
that's for sure.
Oddsmakers have jacked up the number here,
anticipating excessive confusion in the
Falcon camp. The effect may be just the
opposite; if Petrino's presence was a negative,
his absence becomes a positive. We'll take
the points with Atlanta, the 14.5-point
underdog in the BetUS NFL football betting
odds.
BetUS NFL football betting odds: TAMPA
BAY -14.5, Total: 39
NOTABLE STAT: Jeff Garcia has thrown just
three interceptions in 282 attempts
KEY NFL FOOTBALL
BETTING TREND: Atlanta has played ten "unders" in
its last 11 road games
NFL Free Pick:
JAY'S PLAY: ATLANTA
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