Posted
on 12/21/2007 9:15 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Football Betting
Trends - Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers
Saturday,
the Dallas Cowboys (-10½)
look to capture home-field advantage throughout
the playoffs when they visit the Carolina
Panthers (+10½), as they attempt
to put their late season woes behind them
in efforts of stuffing stockings for the
NFL betting enthusiasts supporting them.
For more than a decade, the Cowboys have
struggled late in the year. Since the 1996
season, when they earned their last playoff
victory, the Cowboys haven't posted a winning
record in regular season games in December
and January, going 16-29 SU (straight up)
in such contests.
The Cowboys have already claimed the NFC
East crown and a first-round bye with a
12-2-0 SU record and a 9-5-0 ATS mark.
However, they are 0-4 ATS in their last
four games played in December.
They are tied with Green Bay for the best
record in the NFC. The Cowboys own the
tiebreaker after beating the Packers 37-27
on Nov. 29, so a win and a Green Bay loss
in Chicago this weekend will ensure Dallas
home-field advantage throughout the postseason.
Last week, Dallas lost 10-6 to Philadelphia
as the 10-point favorites, which snapped
a seven-game winning streak ending with
its first defeat since Oct. 14 against
undefeated New England.
The Cowboys are 14-3-1 ATS in their last
18 games following a SU loss and 5-1-1
ATS in their last seven games after allowing
less than 15 points in their previous contest.
Despite last week's effort, the Cowboys
rank second in the league with 378.5 yards
per game. They are scoring 30.6 points
per game offensively anchored by a defense
that's giving up 20.4 points and 310.9
yards.
The Cowboys have won the last six regular
season meetings SU with the Panthers since
losing the first-ever matchup 23-13 on
Dec. 8, 1997.
- Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11
vs. NFC.
- Cowboys are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with
a losing record.
- Cowboys are 10-3-1 ATS in their last
14 games on grass.
- Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7
games in Week 16.
- Cowboys are 7-2-1 ATS in their last
10 road games.
Carolina has scored seven points or less
in three of its five home games since Jake
Delhomme was lost to a season-ending elbow
injury. Still, over the last 11 games,
the Panthers have just eight touchdown
passes, which is the same number Delhomme
threw in his three contests this season
before being sidelined.
Offensively, Carolina ranks near the bottom
and is scoring a stagnant 15.9 points per
game and collecting just 285.3 yards. The
passing game is posting only 184.6 yards
which is fifth-worst in the league.
The Panthers are better on defense, holding
opponents to a respectable 21.7 points
per game and 320.6 yards. They're allowing
212.4 yards through the air and 108.3 on
the ground.
They are 6-8 SU and ATS and are coming
off a 13-10 win over Seattle as the 7-point
underdogs at home, where they're 2-5 SU
and ATS this season.
The Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last
five games following a SU win but 17-7-1
ATS in their last 25 games after allowing
less than 15 points in their previous matchup.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5
games in December.
- Panthers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with
a winning record.
- Panthers are 3-12 ATS in their last
15 games on grass.
- Panthers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9
home games.
- Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8
games overall.
NFL betting
odds list Dallas a 10½-point
favorite with a game total of 42½.
When oddsmakers give the Cowboys double-digit
respect away from home they've not responded
well, as they're 0-5 ATS in their last
five games as a road favorite of 10½ or
greater.
- Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6
games as an underdog.
- Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5
games as a home underdog.
Analysis: Expect the Cowboys to bounce
back strong following their lost to Philadelphia,
and watch for quarter Tony Romo to rebound
after his dismal outing last week.
The road team is 5-2-1 ATS in their last
eight meetings and it's unlikely the super
hot Jessica Simpson will be in attendance
as Dallas rolls in this one.
NFL Free
Picks: Dallas Cowboys -10½
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