Posted
on 12/20/2007 1:55 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Football Betting Trends - Kansas City at Detroit
NOTABLE
STAT: Kansas City has scored 12
points per game on the road
KEY
NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Detroit has played six
of its last eight home games "over" the
total
Two teams with extended losing streaks
will take the field on Sunday, when the
Detroit Lions (6-8 SU, 6-7-1 ATS), losers
of six in a row, play host to the Kansas
City Chiefs (4-10 SU, 5-8-1 ATS), who have
lost seven straight games, at Ford Field
in Detroit (artificial turf). Kickoff is
set for 1 PM ET.
In the BetUS NFL football betting odds,
the Lions are listed at -4.5, with the
total posted at 43.5 points.
Here are some of the NFL football betting
trends and stats relative to this matchup:
* KC has covered one of its last seven
games
* KC has played five of its last seven
games OVER the total
* KC has covered four of its last five
road games
* KC has won three of its last 11 road
games SU
* KC has played seven of its last nine
road games UNDER the total
* DET is 1-5 ATS in its last six games
* DET has played six of its last seven
games OVER the total
* DET has covered four of its last six
home games
* DET has won six of its last 18 home
games SU
* DET has played six of its last eight
home games OVER the total
* KC has won and covered five of the last
six meetings
* Five of the last six meetings have gone
OVER the total
The Lions are out of the playoff race,
which has to be a major disappointment
to Jon Kitna, who predicted ten wins at
the season's outset. He seems perpetually
angry at his team, but still has managed
to produce some decent numbers. At home
he's far less error-prone, throwing five
interceptions as opposed to 12 on the road.
And speaking of the road, that's a very
dangerous place for the Lions, who have
seen a 50-spot hung on them twice this
season. At Ford Field it's been a little
more fortunate story for them, where they
have beaten Chicago, Tampa Bay and Denver
- all by at least a touchdown - and very
nearly defeated Dallas.
Here they're
both at home and facing a weak team that
is getting weaker. The Chiefs have now
lost seven games in a row, and they're
losing some of their wherewithal on defense,
allowing Vince Young, who's been as ineffective
a passer as there is in the league this
year, to complete 16 of 26 for 191 yards
and two TD's last weekend. We still don't
really know if he's going to be a long-run
asset or liability, but the Chiefs are
sticking with Brodie Croyle, for better
or worse. Croyle throws a lot (43 passes
last week, for example) for very little
yardage (217). that's five yards a pop,
and even the Detroit defense can handle
that kind of "firepower." Kolby
Smith, who rushed for 82 yards last week
against Tennessee but only 12 (on 13 carries)
the week before against Denver, is up-and-down,
as one might expect from an undrafted free
agent.
Remember, the Lions have not quit; it's
just that they are just put together in
such a way that they are going to take
their beatings from well-rounded teams
when in unfriendly environs. But we like
the conditions in this one. Kansas City
has scored 12 points per contest on the
road this season, and 30 of those points
were in one game at San Diego.
Both teams are fading, but Kansas City
is fading faster, and without as much offensive
weaponry. So we'll lay the points with
Detroit, the 4.5-point favorite in the
BetUS NFL odds.
BetUS NFL betting odds: DETROIT -4.5,
Total: 43.5
NFL Free Pick:
JAY'S PLAY: DETROIT
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