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With the playoffs approaching, teams in
both conferences are jockeying for position.
Two of the five home dogs will try to put
themselves in a better position while the
other three are merely playing spoiler.
Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions (+13)
The Detroit
Lions went in to Dallas late last season
and won outright while Tony Romo was
struggling late in his first season – can
they do it again? The Dallas Cowboys are
steaming hot right now and have had 10
days to prepare after stomping the Green
Bay Packers on Monday night. There is an
opportunity for a letdown and with the
Lions being the more desperate team, I’d
take the points.
NFL Free Picks: Detroit +13
San Diego Chargers @ Tennessee Titans
(+1.5)
The Tennessee
Titans are back to their familiar role – being an underdog.
Laying points with the Titans has been
a risky proposition this year but on the
flipside, they continuously seem to thrive
as a home underdog. The San Diego Chargers
have been preying on turnovers to get wins
and if their opponent doesn’t make
any, they struggle to win. Philip Rivers
has been simply awful this season and if
the Titans shut down LaDainian Tomlinson
and don’t commit turnovers, the Chargers
will struggle.
NFL Free Picks: Tennessee +1.5
Minnesota Vikings @ San Francisco 49ers
(+10)
The San Francisco
49ers handed the Carolina Panthers their
first home victory in nine tries last
week and now get the streaking Minnesota
Vikings. Tarvaris Jackson’s
success has helped key the Vikings playoff
run as he has limited mistakes and given
his team an opportunity to win. San Francisco
won’t be able to run the ball against
Minnesota and with a terrible passing game,
they’ll likely again lose the time
of possession battle and will require takeaways
to stay in the game.
NFL Free Picks: Minnesota -10
Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets (+3.5)
The Cleveland
Browns are clearly the better team here
but are also in a tough spot. They are
playing back-to-back road games and now
travel to New York after playing in the
desert last week. The Browns have proven
to be a resilient bunch but so have the
Jets since they switched to Kellen Clemens
as their starter. The Jets have won two
of their last three and the Browns better
not assume anything. I don’t
trust the Browns enough to lay more than
a field goal on the road with them.
NFL Free Picks: New York +3.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens
(+10)
The Baltimore
Ravens just played their Super Bowl – it will be difficult
for them to get up for this game even though
they are facing the Super Bowl champs.
The Ravens exuded every shred of their
ability and concentration last week to
try and top the Patriots but failed to
do so. Not only that, they are still stinging
from their loss and have complained to
the media about it. Indianapolis is the
AFC’s second best team and Baltimore
better focus – if Kyle Boller starts
playing like the real Kyle Boller – the
one who turns it over a lot – the
Ravens won’t be in this game for
long.
NFL Free Picks: Indianapolis -10
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons (+6)
Derek Anderson
is a quarterback drafted by the Baltimore
Ravens that is now thriving elsewhere – can Chris Redman do the
same? Redman was drafted by the Ravens,
played in Bobby Petrino’s system
at Louisville and now should probably get
the start on Monday night. The New Orleans
Saints still can’t run the ball with
any consistency, which means that if the
Falcons don’t turn it over, they
will have ample opportunities to stick
around – and maybe even win – this
game.
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