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The Tampa
Bay Buccaneers have been a different
team this season because of the addition
of veteran quarterback Jeff Garcia. However,
Tampa Bay’s 27-24 victory over the
New Orleans Saints last week was engineered
by backup quarterback Luke McCown.
The Buccaneers, (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS, 5-7
O/U), should have ample motivation this
week with Garcia back under center as they
can clinch the NFC South with a victory
or losses by New Orleans and Carolina.
Tampa Bay has not had a five-game winning
streak since 2002 when they captured their
only Super Bowl title.
The Houston
Texans, (5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS, 6-5-1 O/U)
are entering this contest coming off
a 28-20 loss to the Tennessee Titans
last week in which starting quarterback
Matt Schaub was injured in the first quarter
and left with a dislocated left shoulder
that will cause him to miss this week’s
contest. Backup, Sage Rosenfels went 17-of-30
for 185 yards with one touchdown and an
interception as Schaub’s replacement.
In his only start this season, Rosenfels
went 11-of-19 for 181 yards with one TD
and one interception in a 24-17 win over
the Oakland Raiders on Nov. 4. The Texans
have rushed for an average of 118.4 yards
in their last five games after averaging
a measly 60.2 per contest in their previous
five.
The Buccaneers lead the NFC in overall
defense, allowing just 291.8 yards per
game while ranking second in points allowed,
at just 15.6 points per game.
Here is a
look at tonight’s Key
Trends, followed by my Football Betting
Free Picks:
Key Buccaneers Trends
The Buccaneers are 6-0 ATS vs. a team
with a losing record.
The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last
four road games vs. a team with a losing
home record.
The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last
four games overall.
Key Texans Trends
The Texans are 10-3 ATS in their last
13 home games vs. a team with a winning
road record.
The Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven
home games.
The Texans are 7-3 ATS in their last ten
games after allowing more than 350 total
yards in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-1 in Buccaneers last six
games after accumulating more than 350
total yards in their previous game.
The Under is 19-7 in Buccaneers last 26
road games vs. a team with a losing home
record.
The Over is 5-0 in Texans last five home
games vs. a team with a winning road record.
The Over is 7-1 in Texans last eight games
in December.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
There are no trends available.
Analysis:
This pick is an absolute “Lock” NFL
bettors. Take the Tampa Bay Buccaneers,
behind the stellar defense – and
the indomitable leadership of starting
quarterback Jeff Garcia, to help the Bucs
win and cover outright.
NFL Free Picks: Buccaneers -3 Points/Under
40.5 Total Points
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