Posted
on 11/30/2007 2:44 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Football Betting - Browns at Cardinals
The Cleveland Browns (7-4 SU, 9-2 ATS),
who have covered six games in a row, travel
to Glendale, AZ (site of the Super Bowl)
on Sunday to take on the Arizona Cardinals
(5-6 SU, 6-4-1 ATS), who are hanging on
to playoff hopes, in a game scheduled to
start at 4:05 PM ET at University of Phoenix
Stadium (grass). In the BetUS NFL football
betting odds, the Browns are listed at
-1.5, with the total posted at 51.5 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends
as they relate to this matchup:
* CLEV is 6-0 ATS in its last six games
* CLEV has played ten of its 11 games
OVER the total this year
* CLEV is 4-1 ATS on the road in 2007
* CLEV is 2-6 SU in its last eight road
games
* ARIZ is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games
* ARIZ has played four of its last five
games OVER the total
* ARIZ has played seven of its 11 games
OVER the total
* ARIZ has played 26 of its last 42 games
OVER the total
When you face a team that has scored 60
points in the last seven games and averages
221 yards a game, and you give up 37 points
and 374 yards to that team, your defense
has some problems. That's Arizona's situation.
Of course, the Cards gained 552 yards in
that game with the Niners, and Kurt Warner,
who turned the ball over four times, also
passed for 484 yards. Maybe against Cleveland's
secondary, which has allowed 25 TD passes,
Warner makes more first downs rather than
mistakes. And maybe, just maybe, Edgerrin
James, who has averaged 3.7 yards a carry
but has been a workhorse for the 'Zona
offense, pumps that up a bit against this
Browns team that surrenders 4.6 yards a
clip on the ground.
Derek Anderson has had a fantastic season
(58%, 2758 yards and 22 TD's) because he
has some great receivers to throw to (Braylon
Edwards and Kellen Winslow combing for
117 catches) and rookie tackle Joe Thomas
has really given him time to throw the
football (just 10 sacks all year). Jamal
Lewis had 134 rushing yards last week,
but whatever he's able to produce has to
be considered a bonus. Only Cleveland's
last game, with Houston, has gone under
the total. And Warner should get some time
to throw to Larry Fitzgerald (75 catches
for 1060 yards) and Anquan Boldin (6 TD's),
since the Browns only have 19 sacks. Cleveland's
injury problems on the defensive line,
and now in the secondary have not helped
them very much in that regard.
The third receivers on each team (Bryant
Johnson and Joe Jurevicius) are capable
possession guys. And the weather should
cooperate. We're going over the 51.5-point
total, as listed in the BetUS NFL football
betting odds.
BetUS NFL betting odds: CLEVELAND -1.5,
Total 51.5
NOTABLE STAT: Browns defense has given
up 25 touchdown passes
KEY NFL FOOTBALL
BETTING TREND: Cleveland has played one "under" in
eleven games
NFL Free Pick: JAY'S PLAY: OVER 51.5 ***
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
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