Posted
on 11/10/2007 12:50 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Betting Free Picks - Broncos at Chiefs
The Denver
Broncos, (3-5 SU, 1-7 ATS, 6-2 O/U) are
ranked tenth in overall offense, averaging
348.1 yards and 15.8 points per game.
Denver’s defense has left a
lot to be desired as they are ranked just
26th in overall defense allowing 356.4
yards and 28.4 points per game. The Broncos
were routed by the Detroit Lions 44-7 last
week as they lost quarterback Jay Cutler
early in the contest.
The Kansas City Chiefs, (4-4 SU, 4-3-1
ATS, 3-5 O/U) are ranked a dismal 30th
in overall offense, averaging 286.2 yards
and 16.2 points per game. Kansas City has
fielded a solid defense this season that
is ranked 13th in overall defense, allowing
321.1 yards and 18.2 points per game. The
Chiefs were beaten by the Green Bay Packers
33-22 last week.
Here is a
look at tonight’s key
trends followed by my Free NFL Betting
Picks:
Key Broncos Trends
The Broncos are 7-19 ATS in their last
26 games overall.
The Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last
eight games following a S.U. loss.
The Broncos are 3-14 ATS in their last
17 games following a SU loss of more than
14 points.
Key Chiefs Trends
The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with
a losing record.
The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last six
games after accumulating less than 250
total yards in their previous game.
The Chiefs are 9-2 ATS in their last eleven
vs. AFC West.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 6-0 in Broncos last six games
after allowing more than 350 total yards
in their previous game.
The Over is 5-0 in Broncos last five games
after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing
in their previous game.
The Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last five games
after allowing more than 250 yards passing
in their previous game.
The Under is 7-1 in Chiefs last eight
games following a S.U. loss.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last
seven meetings.
The Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings
in Kansas City.
The Over is 8-3 in the last eleven meetings.
Analysis:
The Denver Broncos were literally pounded
by the Detroit Lions last week and should
be more than ready to cover the spread – and
win outright against the Kansas City
Chiefs despite the fact the K.C. has
fielded a very solid defense this season.
I say take the Broncos to cover the spread
and win this game outright.
NFL Free Picks: Broncos +3 Points/Over
37.5 Points
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Denver Broncos
+3 – 105
Kansas City Chiefs -3 -115
Over 37½ -110
Under 37½ -110
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