Posted
on 11/30/2007 3:24 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
Football Betting - Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders
The Denver Broncos (5-6 SU, 3-8-1 ATS)
will try to bounce back from one of the
most disappointing losses any team could
suffer when they go to Oakland to play
the Raiders (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS) in a Sunday
afternoon game scheduled for 4:05 PM ET
at the McAfee Coliseum in Oakland (grass).
In the BetUS NFL football betting odds,
the Broncos are listed at -4.5, with the
total posted at 42.5 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends
as they relate to this matchup:
* DENVER has covered just four of its
last 19 games
* DENVER has won three of its last nine
games SU
* DENVER has played eight of its last
ten games OVER the total (one push)
* OAKLAND is 0-8 ATS in its last eight
home games
* OAKLAND is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games
against AFC West opponents
* DENVER has won eight of the last nine
meetings SU
* OAKLAND has covered the last three meetings
* DENVER has won four of the last five
meetings in Oakland
* DENVER has covered six of the last nine
meetings in Oakland
* Three of the last four meetings have
gone UNDER the total
* Seven of the last 10 meetings have gone
UNDER the total
Should we
hang that great big "buy" sign
on the Oakland Raiders after their 20-17
win over Kansas City last Sunday? Well,
not so fast. Consider that the Chiefs are
still breaking in a new quarterback (Brodie
Croyle) and had a running back making a
first-time start who ran for 150 yards
against the Silver and Black defense. Denver
went to Chicago and, if you judge it on
what happened from the scrimmage line,
dominated things, outgaining the Bears
430-293. The special teams unit blew a
nice effort, giving up a punt return and
kickoff return for Devin Hester touchdowns,
and letting a punt get blocked that led
to another TD. Oakland doesn't happen to
be that opportunistic.
Denver's
psyche may be a question mark, but Mike
Shanahan never misses a shot to beat
up on the Raiders. Even though Oakland
has covered the last three meetings, Shanahan
has a 20-5 SU record against the team that
showed him the door some years ago. And
you have to concede that there is some
momentum on this team. The running game
continued along with Andre Hall, and should
find room again as Oakland gives up five
yards a carry. Jay Cutler (65%, 13 TD,
10 INT) looks like he's maturing. And even
after "outbursts" of 22 and 20
points the last couple of weeks, the Raiders
have still only averaged 14 ppg over their
last seven. In the previous meeting, a
23-20 OT win for Denver, Oakland had only
eleven first downs.
And for those of you looking for the Raiders
to make that big stand at home, they've
dropped the eight against the number at
McAfee Coliseum. And now here come the
rumors about Lane Kiffin bailing out to
take a college head coaching job. Could
he actually be gone before he even puts
JaMarcus Russell into action?
We have no doubt about Shanahan getting
his team ready to play this hated rival,
especially as the Broncos are still only
a game out of the lead in the AFC West.
We'll lay the points with Denver, the 4.5-point
road favorite in the BetUS NFL betting
odds.
BetUS NFL football betting odds: DENVER
-4.5, Total 42.5
NOTABLE STAT: Raiders are giving up five
yards a rushing attempt
KEY NFL BETTING TREND: Oakland 0-8 ATS
in last eight home games
NFL Free Pick: JAY'S PLAY: DENVER ** (Graded
on a scale of 1-4 stars)
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