Posted
on 12/22/2007 9:15 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Betting Free Picks - Broncos vs. Chargers
The Chargers
are becoming an extremely scary team
for the rest of the AFC. LaDanian Tomlinson
is going bananas and the rushing attack
looks ridiculous right now. The Broncos
hope to derail the Chargers slightly,
but a 6-1 SU record at home should give
San Diego’s betting faithful something
to hang on to heading in to the clash on
Christmas Eve.
Denver Offense vs. San Diego Defense
As much as everyone loves Jay Cutler,
he simply has not impressed when playing
away from home. The kid has twelve picks
on the season, and is still struggling
without Javon Walker out on the field.
Brandon Marshall is playing like a man
possessed, however, and has virtually bullied
the Broncos to 229.8 passing yards per
game with his yards after the catch running.
Whomever is rushing the ball for the Broncos
will have a tough time against the Chargers.
They allow an average of 107.0 yards per
game, while Denver has rushed for an average
of 124.1 offensive rushing yards, but the
front-seven has been playing with inhuman
motivation this past few weeks. Denver
will struggle moving the chains against
this ferocious defense.
San Diego Offense vs. Denver Defense
San Diego averages 126.6 rushing yards
per week, and Denver gives up an ugly 140.2
yards on the ground. LaDanian is going
ballistic and was so effective against
a fairly strong Lions defense last week
that he was benched for Sproles and Turner
in the second half. The Denver rushing
defense should pose no threat to LDT going
off, just in time for the fantasy football
finals week.
For all the
flack Philip Rivers has received, he
has done an adequate job of managing
the game. Chris Chambers has been a very
early Christmas present to this offense,
and has brought balance as a bonus to the
passing game. The Chargers average 191.8
passing yards, and the Broncos defensive
strength is their secondary. Champ Bailey
and company hold teams to 196.2 yards per
game through the air, but the Chargers
won’t be taking many shots downfield
so that should be a concern for the Charger’s
betting faithful.
NFL Betting Trends
-Denver is 5-17 in its last 22 games
-Denver is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
on the road
-San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
at home
-San Diego is 3-3-3 ATS in its last 9
games when playing Denver
Final Verdict
Denver is showing signs of life, but on
the road they are terrible and unreliable.
In contrast, the Chargers are becoming
a very scary team to play. They are surging
in to the playoffs with astute authority
right now, and the betting investors should
be hopping on the bandwagon fast. Taking
Denver on the road against a team that
has played sensationally at home is going
to bring zero holiday cheer in to your
betting pockets on Christmas Eve.
Denver Broncos (6-8) vs. San Diego Chargers
(9-5)
Monday, December 24th --- Qualcomm Stadium,
San Diego --- 8:00pm EST
Opening NFL Betting Line: San Diego -7.5
(46)
NFL Free Pick: Denver 14 San Diego 34
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