Posted
on 11/22/2007 8:39:45 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Week 12 Betting - Broncos at Bears
The Denver Broncos (5-5 SU, 3-7 ATS),
who have won two games in a row, will look
to keep the momentum going when they visit
Soldier Field in Chicago (grass) to play
the Bears (4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS) in a game slated
to begin at 4:15 PM ET on Sunday. In the
BetUS NFL betting odds, the Bears are listed
at -1.5, with the total posted at 41 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends
as they relate to this matchup:
* DEN has covered four of its last 18
games
* DEN has played four OVERS in its last
five games
* DEN has played 12 OVERS in its last
14 games
* DEN has covered seven of its last 11
as an underdog
* DEN has covered two of its last eight
road games
* CHI has covered four of its last 16
games
* CHI is 0-4 ATS at home this year
* CHI has won 15 of its last 22 games
at home SU
* CHI has lost four of its last five home
games SU
* CHI has played 12 of its last 16 home
games OVER the total
* CHI is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six meetings
with Denver
* Five of the last six meetings have gone
UNDER the total
Maybe the team meeting the Denver Broncos
had a couple of weeks ago did them all
the good in the world, since the team posted
impressive wins over Kansas City and Tennessee
since then. Actually over the last five
weeks, the only major downer was a 44-7
loss in Detroit where Jay Cutler was knocked
out of the game. The Denver running game
keeps producing, regardless of who is in
the lineup. And run defense is one area
where the Chicago Bears have wilted this
season (surrendering 4.5 ypc). Many attribute
it to the loss of tank Johnson, who's now
in Dallas. Whatever the reason, it's there
for all to exploit. And Denver will exploit
it, even if neither banged-up Travis Henry
nor Selwin Young can go.
Rex Grossman gets the start at quarterback
for Chicago, and in light of his history
of making unforced errors and being sacked
five times by Seattle, he'll have a headache
to deal with in Elvis Dumervil, who's recorded
eight sacks for the Broncos. Cedric Benson
had 89 yards against the Seahawks, including
a 43-yard touchdown run, but that doesn't
mean he's dependable; the 3.3 ypc average
sticks out like a sore thumb.
Remember when the Bears were fearsome
at Soldier Field? That's was your big brother's
version, not this one. Chicago is 1-3 SU
at home and 0-4 ATS, allowing 24 ppg. So
even though Denver grabbed only its third
cover in ten games on Monday night, we
still like the Broncos' more functional
offensive unit and the QB who provides
a bit more stability (Cutler 66%, 11 TD,
9 INT). We'll side with Denver, the 1.5-point
underdog in the BetUS NFL football betting
odds.
NFL Free Pick: JAY'S
PLAY: DENVER ** (Graded on a scale of 1-4
stars)
BetUS NFL betting odds: CHICAGO -1.5,
Total 41
NOTABLE STAT: The Bears are allowing 4.5
yards a rush, while Denver gains 4.7 yards
per carry
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Chicago
is 0-4 ATS at Soldier Field this season
> > Check
Week 12 Odds Here
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