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Believe it or not, this matchup between
the Buffalo Bills and Cleveland Browns
has serious playoff implications for each
team as the winner will greatly improve
its chances of winning one of the two wild-card
spots in the AFC.
The Browns can actually can clinch one
of the AFC's two wild-card spots with a
victory over the Bills, combined with a
Tennessee loss and a Denver loss or tie.
Each team has gone 6-2 in their last eight
games and enters this contest coming off
a victory. The Browns beat the New York
Jets 24-18 last week while the Bills routed
the pathetic Miami Dolphins 38-17.
Browns’ starter
Derek Anderson has been spectacular this
season, throwing for 3,247 yards, and
26 touchdown passes after replacing former
teammate Charlie Frye after Week One.
Wide receiver Braylon Edwards has caught
65 passes for 1,106 yards and 13 TDs -
the third-most in the NFL betting.
Bills rookie quarterback Trent Edwards
has won five of his six starts and enters
this matchup coming off the best game of
his young career. Edwards threw four touchdown
passes against the Dolphins last week
The Bills, (7-6 SU, 8-4-1 ATS, 6-7 O/U)
are ranked 28th in overall offense, averaging
283.6 yards and 17.1 points per game and
30th in overall defense, allowing 363.8
yards and 22.4 points per game.
The Browns, (8-5 SU, 10-3 ATS, 9-3-1 O/U)
are ranked ninth in overall offense, averaging
352.2 yards and 27.7 points per game and
32nd in overall defense, allowing 389.7
yards and 27.4 points per game.
Here is a
look at tonight’s key
trends, followed by my analysis and free
NFL betting odds.
Key Bills Trends
The Bills are 12-2-1 ATS in their last
15 games following a ATS win.
The Bills are 5-1-1 ATS in their last
seven games following a S.U. win.
The Bills are 5-1-1 ATS in their last
seven games after allowing less than 90
yards rushing in their previous game.
Key Browns Trends
The Browns are 6-0 ATS in their last six
games as a favorite.
The Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last five
home games.
The Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last five
vs. AFC.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 4-1 in Bills last five games
as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
The Under is 4-1 in Bills last five games
on grass.
The Over is 6-0-1 in Browns last seven
games after allowing more than 250 yards
passing in their previous game.
The Under is 4-0 in Browns last four games
in December.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
There are no trends available.
Analysis:
The best wager in this contest NFL betting
community is to take the ‘Over’ 44.5
points as neither team plays much defense
at all. I also say take the Browns to cover
the spread in a winning effort as Cleveland
head coach Romeo Crennel figures out a
way to harass the Bills’ poised rookie
quarterback into a couple of turnovers.
NFL Free Picks: Over 44.5 Total Points/Cleveland
-5.5 Points
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