Posted
on 11/30/2007 1:34:45 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Football Betting - San Francisco at Carolina
The San Francisco
Forty-Niners (3-8 SU, 3-7-1 ATS), who
may be still celebrating its first win
after an eight-game losing streak, visit
Charlotte to play the sputtering Carolina
Panthers (4-7 SU & ATS) in
a game scheduled for Sunday at 1 PM ET
at Bank of America Stadium (grass). In
the BetUS NFL football betting odds, Carolina
is listed at -3, with the over/under posted
at 35 points.
That total is a low figure, for sure,
but we will explore whether there exists
a online betting opportunity therein.
First, let's take a look at the TOTALS-RELATED
pro football stats and NFL betting trends
concerning this matchup:
* SF has played seven of its 11 games
UNDER the total this season
* SF has averaged 13.6 ppg in 2007 (32nd
in NFL)
* SF has averaged 235 yards per game this
season
* SF has averaged 17.2 yards per point
this season
* SF has played three UNDERS in its last
four games
* CARO has averaged 15.7 ppg this season
(27th in NFL)
* CARO has played eight of its 11 games
UNDER the total this season
* CARO has played seven UNDERS in its
last eight games
* CARO has averaged 18.5 yards per point
this season
* Ten of the last 12 meetings have gone
OVER the total
* Four of the last five meetings in Charlotte
have gone OVER the total
We certainly
acknowledge San Francisco's offensive "explosion" last
Sunday against Arizona, as Trent Dilfer
passed for 256 yards and the Niners tallied
37 points. We don't want to rain on that
scoring parade, but San Francisco took
advantage of four Arizona turnovers as
well (which led to 20 points). I mean,
is this all of a sudden a different Niner
team than the one that, for example,
gained an average of 232 yards a game
for the previous four? Or 221 yards for
the entire year? We realize that adding
former USC and San Diego State coach
Ted Tollner as an assistant has helped
breathe some life into things, but might
be judicious to see another run over the
track with this kind of performance to
declare the offensive problem solved. Bad
teams are marked with inconsistency, so
it wouldn't surprise us at all to see Dilfer
go back to misfiring.
Of course, the other component to this
is the Carolina attack, which has produced
all of 50 points in the last five games.
The Panthers, who have not covered at home
in the last seven tries (i.e., haven't
played nearly well enough to win), have
scored 54 points in Bank of America Stadium
this season (10.8 ppg). And it is not hard
to understand why, considering the musical
chairs that have been going on at the quarterback
position. Jake Delhomme, injured early
on, has given way to Vinny Testaverde and
David Carr, both of whom have completed
just 54% and neither of whom has cracked
six yards an attempt.
The problem is, San Francisco has not
played very well against the Panthers,
covering just one of the last ten meetings.
If that pattern continues; if they're going
to be bested here, it's going to be on
offense, and not necessarily by being burned
on defense.
We're bucking
a trend here, I guess, as ten of the
last 12 meetings have gone over the total.
But the game with the Cardinals was only
Frisco's fourth "over" in
11 games this season, while Carolina has
now played seven unders in eight games,
which encompasses the period Delhomme has
not been available to them.
Even though
we appreciate the new confidence in the
Niner offense, we don't know whether
that will have its enduring effect, and
we can't see Carolina getting things together
with the ball in its hands. So we'll lean
to a figure "under" the total
of 35 points, as listed in the BetUS NFL
football betting odds.
BetUS NFL betting odds: Carolina -3, Total:
35
NOTABLE STAT: Carolina has scored 10 ppg
over the last five
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Carolina
has played seven unders in eight games
since Delhomme's injury
NFL Free Pick: JAY'S PLAY: UNDER 35 **
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
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