Posted
on 11/16/2007 9:35 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping
Staff
NCAA Football Betting
- Week 12 Free Picks
Saturday, November 17th --- Sanford Stadium,
Athens --- 12:30pm EST
Opening NCAA Football Betting Line: Georgia
-8 (61)
The SEC East race is on the line as Mark
Richt and the Bulldogs host the bumbling
Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday. Georgia is
5-1 SU at home this year, and are 5-2 SU
in their conference. Kentucky will come to
town hoping to shed the betting trend that
has been set over their last six meetings
with Georgia. They are 2-4 ATS in their last
six against the Dawgs.
Georgia has
flipped the script on their playbook, going
from a conservative game plan to a tricky
and creative one that has seriously opened
up this offense. This has opened up rushing
lanes for Knowshon Moreno, the star freshman
for the Bulldogs who averages 5.5 yards
per carry and has 1,104 yards on the year
with 11 touchdowns. Kentucky’s
porous run defense allows a head-shaking
197.3 yards per game.
Andre Woodson will have his chances against
a passing defense that allows 201.5 yards
per game, but Georgia is on a serious roll
right now. Kentucky, on the other hand, has
lost any momentum they were carrying heading
in to the home stretch. Bet on the Bulldogs
as they try to improve their 5-4 ATS record
against a Wildcats team that has seemed to
lose their heart. The rushing defense of
Kentucky will not be able to keep Georgia
off the field, let alone out of the endzone.
NCAA College Football Free Pick: Kentucky
24 Georgia 34
Saturday, November 17th --- Nippert Stadium,
Cincinnati --- 7:45pm EST
Opening NCAA Football Betting Line: West
Virginia -7 (55.5)
These are both
very good football teams, so don’t
bite in to the rankings just yet. Cincinnati
is eighteenth in scoring with 36.6 points
per contest. West Virginia out paces them
by only a few points, ranking tenth overall
with 40.4 points per game. WVU needs this
game to keep pace with Connecticut, which
is starting to crumble as the season wears
on.
Cincinnati
has a strong rushing defense allowing only
98.8 points per game, but their passing
defense allows a disturbing 261.2 yards
on average. The reason it’s disturbing
is because quarterback Pat White has elevated
his game to a whole new level. Last weekend
he ran for 147 yards, including a breakaway
touchdown that clinched the victory for the
Mountaineers. He is simply coming up with
huge plays, be it with his hands or his feet,
when they matter most, and that is the kind
of intangible you can not bet against.
The Bearcats are 10-1 SU in their last 11
home games, making them an intimidating home
dog. The betting investor should rest assured
since West Virginia is 12-4 ATS and 14-2
SU in their last 16 road games. With plenty
on the line, West Virginia will roll to the
win behind Steve Slaton and Pat White rushing
the ball all over these Bearcats.
NCAA College Football Free Pick: West Virginia
29 Cincinnati 21
Saturday, November 17th --- Jones SBC Stadium,
Lubbock --- 8:00pm EST
Opening NCAA Football Betting Line: Oklahoma
-9.5 (66)
The Sooners
hope to keep their BCS hopes alive as they
face the aerial attack of the Texas Tech
Raiders. Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree
are the canon and missile of the most dangerous
aerial attack in football. The Raiders
average an astounding 480.6 passing yards
per game, while Oklahoma’s pass
defense surrenders 227.4 per match.
Oklahoma can’t get caught looking
past the dangerous Raiders. They will need
Sam Bradford to continue to gut passing defenses
as he steadies an offense that averages 466.4
total yards per game and notches 45.0 points.
Oklahoma has a much better defense than Texas
Tech is used to facing, so they won’t
be able to torch the scoreboard like they’re
used to doing.
The Sooners defense
is a tad bit suspect, and their secondary
is going to suffer some blows as Michael
Crabtree uses this game as his coming out
party. The Raiders are 7-1 SU in their last
8 games, but are 1-5 ATS in their last six
when playing Oklahoma. Oklahoma has fallen
off the wagon by going 1-5 ATS in their last
6 games, but are riding a five game winning
streak. Bet on that streak to continue as
they match Harrell and the Raiders pass-for-pass
in this high scoring affair.
NCAA College Football Free Pick: Oklahoma
42 Texas Tech 31
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