Posted
on 11/10/2007 9:20:22 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff
NCAAF Betting - No. 7 USC Trojans (7-2) at California Golden Bears (6-3)
The Southern California Trojans, (7-2
SU, 4-5 ATS, 1-8 O/U) are averaging 412.0
yards and 31.4 points per game and allowing
253.3 yards and 15.9 points per game. USC
enters this contest coming off a persuasive
24-3 win over Oregon State last week and
also beat Cal 23-9 last season to cover
a 5.5-point spread.
The California Golden Bears, (6-3 SU,
3-6 ATS, 3-5-1 O/U) are averaging 407.0
yards and 31.8 points per game and allowing
377.0 yards and 25.7 points per game. The
Golden Bears enter this game coming off
a close 20-17 win over Washington State
last week.
Here is a
look at tonight’s Key
Trends, followed by my Free NCAA Football
Betting Picks:
Key Trojans Trends
The Trojans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with
a winning record.
The Trojans are 21-6 ATS in their last
27 games in November.
The Trojans are 29-14 ATS in their last
43 games after allowing less than 100 yards
rushing in their previous game.
Key Golden Bears Trends
The Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their
last four home games vs. a team with a
winning road record.
The Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their
last six games after allowing less than
20 points in their previous game.
The Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their
last seven games after allowing less than
100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-0 in Trojans last five
games following a S.U. win.
The Under is 5-0 in Trojans last five
games after allowing less than 275 total
yards in their previous game.
The Over is 5-0 in Golden Bears last five
home games vs. a team with a winning road
record.
The Over is 8-0 in Golden Bears last eight
games after allowing less than 20 points
in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last
eleven meetings.
Analysis:
While I don’t think USC
is that much better than their in-state
rivals in this matchup, I am going to take
the Trojans to win this game and cover
the spread by a couple of points. Besides,
I really don’t think USC is a three-loss
team this season.
NCAAF Free Picks: USC -4.5 points
08:00 PM EST NCAA Football Odds
USC Trojans
-4½ -110
California
Golden Bears +4½ -110
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