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USC vs. Cal Preview - Free Pick

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Posted on 11/10/2007 9:20:22 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff

NCAAF Betting - No. 7 USC Trojans (7-2) at California Golden Bears (6-3)


Click Here To Lay A Bet On The USC vs. Cal Matchup At Betus Online Sportsbook - Grab Up To $175 In Deposit Bonus' - Click Here!

The Southern California Trojans, (7-2 SU, 4-5 ATS, 1-8 O/U) are averaging 412.0 yards and 31.4 points per game and allowing 253.3 yards and 15.9 points per game. USC enters this contest coming off a persuasive 24-3 win over Oregon State last week and also beat Cal 23-9 last season to cover a 5.5-point spread.

The California Golden Bears, (6-3 SU, 3-6 ATS, 3-5-1 O/U) are averaging 407.0 yards and 31.8 points per game and allowing 377.0 yards and 25.7 points per game. The Golden Bears enter this game coming off a close 20-17 win over Washington State last week.

Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my Free NCAA Football Betting Picks:

Key Trojans Trends

The Trojans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

The Trojans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games in November.

The Trojans are 29-14 ATS in their last 43 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Key Golden Bears Trends

The Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

The Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

The Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Key Totals Trends

The Under is 5-0 in Trojans last five games following a S.U. win.

The Under is 5-0 in Trojans last five games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

The Over is 5-0 in Golden Bears last five home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

The Over is 8-0 in Golden Bears last eight games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

The Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last eleven meetings.

Analysis: While I don’t think USC is that much better than their in-state rivals in this matchup, I am going to take the Trojans to win this game and cover the spread by a couple of points. Besides, I really don’t think USC is a three-loss team this season.

NCAAF Free Picks: USC -4.5 points

08:00 PM EST NCAA Football Odds

USC Trojans -4½ -110

California Golden Bears +4½ -110

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