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Texas Bowl Preview - TCU vs. Houston - Free Pick

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Posted on 12/24/2007 10:25:33 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff

College Football Betting - Texas Bowl: Horned Frogs vs. Cougars

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Dec. 28 -- Texas Bowl Preview at Houston, TCU (7-5) vs. Houston (8-4), 8 p.m. (NFL Network)

The TCU Horned Frogs and the Houston Cougars have a lot in common: redshirt freshmen QBs, backfields loaded with talent and great sets of receivers. What is the difference between the two, for those who bet on college bowls and would like to bet on this game in the BetUS sportsbook? The difference is that TCU has a much better and more consistent pass rush than does Houston. The fact that Houston has faced many issues with keeping defenders away from their quarterback will not do them any favors in this game against the Horned Frogs.

TCU Horned Frogs –4 vs. Houston Cougars +4

On offense, Houston running back Anthony Alridge is at the tail end of a great year. He has been getting 20-plus carries per game, averaging an exciting 6.4 yards per carry and has amassed almost 1,600 yards while scoring 14 times on the ground. In Houston’s last eight games, he has rushed for over 100 yards seven times. He will, however, have his work cut out for him going up against TCU LB Jason Philips, who is a very good open field tackler who never quits on a play. Philips has the interior defense to keep blockers away, so he will be able to key in on the running game and could limit Alridge’s success to the point where Houston may have to rely more on their passing game than they might like.

Texas Bowl @ Reliant Stadium: 8 PM, Friday, December 28, 2007

Cougars quarterback Case Keenum will have his decision-making ability sorely tested by the pass rush of the Horned Frogs. Although his ability to take care of the ball has gotten better as the season wore on, Houston has had problems holding the pocket. Facing a tough defensive front, especially on the perimeter where TCU Des Chase Ortiz and Tommy Blake will be waiting to explode, means Keenum will have to be fast and decisive with his throws. The Cougars will most likely plan the game around quick, three-step drops to try to get Keenum into a rhythm.

This type of game plan should allow the Cougars to stay within range of the Horned Frogs, but their issues with pass protection will most likely be the difference in this game. An extra sack or two to stop a drive will be all TCU needs to cover this four-point NCAA football betting spread.

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