Posted
on 11/16/2007 10:51 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff
NCAA Football Wagering - Purdue (7-4) at Indiana (6-5)
The Purdue Boilermakers, (7-4 SU, 5-4-1
ATS, 4-5-1 O/U) are averaging 428.7 yards
and 33.7 points per game and allowing 380.8
yards and 24.5 points per game. Purdue
enters this contest coming off a 48-31
loss to Michigan State last week.
The Indiana Hoosiers, (6-5 SU, 6-4 ATS,
5-5 O/U) are averaging 389.5 yards and
32.0 points per game and allowing 397.5
yards and 27.0 points per game. Indiana
lost to Northwestern last week but managed
to cover the spread and increase my NCAA
Football bankroll.
Purdue won this perennial clash one year
ago, 28-19 at home.
Here is a
look at tonight’s Key
Trends, followed by my Free NCAA Football
Picks.
Key Boilermakers Trends
The Boilermakers are 9-2 ATS in their
last eleven games in November.
The Boilermakers are 6-2-1 ATS in their
last nine road games.
The Boilermakers are 7-16 ATS vs. a team
with a winning record.
Key Hoosiers Trends
The Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS in their last
four games following a ATS loss.
The Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS in their last
five games following a S.U. loss.
The Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS in their last
five games after accumulating less than
100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 4-0 in Boilermakers last
four games after allowing more than 40
points in their previous game.
The Under is 6-0 in Boilermakers last
six games following a double-digit loss
at home.
The Under is 4-1 in Hoosiers last five
games after allowing more than 280 yards
passing in their previous game.
The Under is 4-1 in Hoosiers last five
games after allowing more than 450 total
yards in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Home team is 7-2 ATS in their last
nine meetings.
The Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
The Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last
seven meetings.
Analysis:
Indiana has been an absolute money-maker
for me the last six weeks, including
last week when they covered against Northwestern.
Sure, Indiana has traditionally been
a ‘basketball’ school,
but I say the Hoosiers win this game and
cover the spread at home while validating
their season even more.
NCAAF Free Picks: Indiana -2.5 Points
12:00 PM EST NCAA Odds
Purdue Boilermakers
-2½ -110
Indiana Hoosiers
+2½ -110
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