Posted
on 12/29/2007 10:25:33 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping
Staff
NCAA Football Betting - Meineke Car Care Bowl
Dec.
29 -- Meineke Bowl Preview Charlotte, N.C.,
Connecticut (9-3) vs. Wake Forest (8-4),
1 p.m. (ESPN)
LAST
POINTSPREAD RESULT: U-Conn went to
Morgantown and lost a 66-21 decision to West
Virginia as a 21-point dog, giving up 624
total yards. Wake Forest visited Vanderbilt
and came away with a 31-17 win as a two-point
underdog.
LAST
MEETING: These teams met last season.
Wake Forest won 24-13 as a six-point road
underdog. The Deacons managed only 209 total
yards on offense, but took advantage of three
U-Conn turnovers.
ABOUT CONNECTICUT:
The Good News -- The Huskies defense permitted
19 points or less to the opposition in ten
of the 12 games this team played in 2007.
U-Conn registered a +12 turnover margin on
the season. The rushing attack has been a
strength, as running backs Donald Brown and
Andre Dixon have combined for 1558 yards
rushing.
The Bad News -- U-Conn has faltered badly
when facing high-level opposition away from
home, losing to Cincinnati and West Virginia
by a combined 93-24 score and being outgained
by a combined 448 yards.
U-CONN TRENDS:
* U-CONN has covered seven of its last nine
games
* U-CONN has played five UNDERS in its last
seven games
* U-CONN is 4-2 ATS as an underdog this
season
ABOUT WAKE FOREST:
The Good News -- Wake Forest won eight of
its last ten games. One of the reasons was
outstanding wide receiver Kenneth Moore,
who caught 87 passes. And between the defensive
and special teams units, there were ten touchdowns
scored. The Deacons posted a +12 turnover
margin. And QB Riley Skinner has completed
72% of his passes.
The Bad News -- Defending against enemy
air attacks has been a notable problem, as
Wake Forest allowed 242 passing yards per
game this season. That ranks them 78th in
the country. Skinner had 11 TD passes against
12 interceptions.
WAKE FOREST TRENDS:
* WF is 21-10-1 ATS in its last 31 games
* WF has covered six of its last seven games
* WF covered five of eight games as a favorite
this year
* WF has played seven OVERS in its last
nine games
THE BOTTOM LINE: There is a lot to be proud
of if you;re a U-Conn fan. But those performances
against West Virginia and Cincinnati are
a little disconcerting. Not that Wake Forest
is necessarily built to pull away like that,
but the Deacons come into this game with
high-level bowl experience (the Orange Bowl
last season) and a squad that is a threat
to score, even if the offense is not on the
field. There is no way coach Jim Grobe will
have this team unprepared and caught with
its pants down. Sure, Wake has had some problems
against talented quarterbacks, but we can't
say that Husky signal-caller Tyler Lorenzen
(57%) and coach Randy Edsall's conservative
offense is all that equipped to exploit that
weakness. We'll take the ACC entry, Wake
Forest, the 2.5-point favorite in the BetUS
NCAA football betting odds.
WHAT: Meineke Car Care Bowl
WHO: Connecticut
Huskies (9-3 SU, 8-3 ATS) vs. Wake Forest
Demon Deacons (8-4 SU & ATS)
WHEN & WHERE:
December 29, 1 PM ET at Bank of America
Stadium in Charlotte, N.C. (grass)
BETUS COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING LINE: WAKE
FOREST -2.5, Total: 47.5
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