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Maryland vs. Florida St. Preview + Free Pick

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Posted on 11/16/2007 10:51 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff

NCAAF Wagering - Maryland (5-5) at Florida State (6-4)


Click Here To Lay A Bet On The Maryland vs. Florida St. Matchup At Betus Online Sportsbook - Grab Up To $175 In Deposit Bonus' - Click Here!

The Maryland Terrapins, (5-5 SU, 3-6 ATS, 4-5 O/U) are averaging 340.8 yards and 24.6 points per game and allowing 366.7 yards and 23.5 points per game. The Terrapins recorded a huge win last week, beating former No. 2 Boston College 42-35.

The Florida State Seminoles, (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS, 5-5 O/U) are averaging 367.5 yards and 23.9 points per game and allowing 443.1 yards and 20.2 points per game. The Seminoles took an old-fashioned, 40-21 spanking from Virginia Tech last week.

Maryland beat Florida State 27-24 last season.

Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my Free NCAA Football Picks:

Key Terrapins Trends

The Terrapins are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Terrapins are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

The Terrapins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

Key Seminoles Trends

The Seminoles are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games.

The Seminoles are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games in November.

The Seminoles are 2-6 ATS in their last eight conference games.

Key Totals Trends

The Under is 10-1 in Terrapins last eleven games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

The Over is 7-1 in Terrapins last eight road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Over is 8-2 in Seminoles last ten games following a S.U. loss.

The Over is 4-1 in Seminoles last five games overall.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

The Home team is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

The Terrapins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven meetings in Florida State.

Analysis: While Maryland is clearly a mediocre team at best right now, I don’t think they are nine points worse than the Seminoles. Take the Terrapins to cover in this game with an outside shot of winning outright.

NCAAF Free Picks: Maryland +8 Points

03:30 PM EST NCAAF Odds

Maryland Terps +8 -110

FSU Seminoles -8 -110

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