Posted
on 12/05/2007 10:25:33 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping
Staff
Dec. 31 -- Insight Bowl Preview at Tempe, Ariz., Indiana (7-5) vs. Oklahoma State (6-6), 7:30 p.m. (NFL)
LAST
POINTSPREAD RESULT: Indiana ended its
regular season with a 27-24 home win over
Purdue, covering as a one-point underdog.
Oklahoma State lost 49-17 to Oklahoma, failing
to cover as a 13.5-point dog.
ABOUT INDIANA:
The Good News
-- Kellen Lewis is an extremely capable
double-threat quarterback. He threw for
26 touchdowns and rushed for 653 yards.
His top target, and one of the nation's best,
is 6'7" James Hardy, who caught 75 passes
for 1075 yards and 16 TD's. The Hoosiers
had 42 quarterback sacks, and defensive end
Greg Middleton had 16 of them. Austin Starr
has converted on 31 of 36 field goal attempts.
The Bad News -- Indiana ended the season
ranked 73rd in pass defense, giving up 239
yards a game. And the Hoosiers scored just
12 rushing TD's this season. This program
has not been to a bowl game since 1993.
INDIANA TRENDS:
* IND has lost four of its last six games
SU
* IND has played its last four games UNDER
the total
ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE:
The Good News -- Zac Robinson was a do-everything
QB for OSU. Robinson passed for 2522 yards
and 20 TD's, while throwing just eight INT's
- two of them in the last seven games. Robinson
also rushed for 777 yards. The Cowboys averaged
246 rushing yards per game, and RB Dantrell
Savage has now topped the 100-mark in nine
straight games. Adarius Bowman *61 catches
for 932 yards), one of the nation's most
highly-regraded wide receivers, is back after
two games missed with injury.
The Bad News -- Oklahoma State surrendered
32 points per game, and ranked 103rd in total
defense (116th in pass defense). The Cowboys
were only 2-6 SU against bowl teams this
year.
OKLAHOMA STATE TRENDS:
* OKLA ST has covered one of its last five
games
* OKLA ST was 1-2 ATS as a favorite
THE BOTTOM LINE: Oklahoma State should be
able to neutralize, to a certain extent,
Indiana's defensive strength - rushing the
passer. The Cowboy offensive line has allowed
only 11 sacks all year and Zac Robinson is
very hard to contain. Both of the All-America
caliber wideouts - Bowman and Hardy - will
find plenty of room against substandard defensive
secondaries. The OSU run game (246 ypg) gives
them more balance than Indiana, but Kellen
Lewis will keep the Cowboy defense well off-balance
as well. Keep an eye on Indiana's James Bailey,
who has averaged 27 yards a return. And remember
that there is an inspirational motive with
the Hoosiers, who lost their well-regarded
head coach, Terry Hoeppner, prior to the
season when he succumbed to a brain tumor.
The bottom line here is that this is one
of those games with highly competent offensive
personnel. playing against defenses who routinely
have a problem stopping even pedestrian opposition.
We'll go "over" the
69 points, as posted in the BetUS NCAA
football betting odds.
WHAT: Insight Bowl
WHO: Indiana Hoosiers (7-5 SU, 6-4 ATS)
vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-6 SU, 4-6 ATS)
WHEN & WHERE:
December 31, 5 PM ET at Sun Devil Stadium
in Tempe, AZ (grass)
BETUS COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING LINE: OKLAHOMA
ST. -4, Total: 69
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