Posted
on 12/29/2007 7:55 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping
Staff
Bet On NCAA Football - Meineke Bowl
The Connecticut
Huskies (+2½) and
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-2½) have
split two meetings SU (straight up), with
the Deacons taking the last one 24-13 on
Sept. 16, 2006 as the 6½-point underdogs.
Now, the two meet again on Saturday in this
year's Meineke Bowl for your NCAA football
betting entertainment and we have the winning
selection.
Connecticut bounced back from a dismal 2006
campaign to win a share of the Big East title
this season at 9-3 SU and 7-3 ATS (against
the spread). Wake Forest, meanwhile, continued
to emerge in the ACC by qualifying for consecutive
bowls for the first time with a record of
8-4 SU and ATS.
The Huskies were able to turn a profit for
its investors off the arm of Tyler Lorenzen,
who completed 57.3 percent of his passes
for 2,269 yards, 13 touchdowns and five interceptions.
The junior has struggled at times behind
an offensive line that allowed him to get
sacked 28 times, second most in the Big East.
On the ground, Connecticut relies on sophomore
running backs Andre Dixon and Donald Brown
II, who combined for 1,558 rushing yards
and 11 touchdowns.
As a unit, the Huskies scored 27.8 points
per game and collected 358.3 yards offensively.
On defense, Connecticut allowed just 18.6
points per game and 346.3 yards. They gave
up 158.5 rushing yards and 187.8 passing.
Connecticut is just behind Wake Forest,
returning five interceptions for touchdowns.
The Huskies have 22 interceptions, one fewer
than Cincinnati, South Florida and Central
Florida for the most in the FBS.
The team is in its first postseason game
since winning the 2004 Motor City Bowl 39-10
over Toledo.
- Huskies are 27-10-1 ATS in their last
38 non-conference games.
- Huskies are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a
winning record.
- Huskies are 16-5 ATS in their last 21
games on grass.
- Huskies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games
overall.
Wake Forest is led by quarterback Riley
Skinner, who's in his second year as the
starter. The sophomore's 71.9 completion
rate ranks behind only Texas Tech's Graham
Harrell (72.7) in the FBS.
Skinner threw for 1,936 yards and 11 touchdowns,
although he also had 12 interceptions. His
No. 1 target is senior Kenneth Moore, who
had 87 receptions for 899 yards and five
touchdowns.
Skinner has been aided by the emergence
of freshman running back Josh Adams, who
led the team with 887 rushing yards and 10
scores.
The Demon Deacons put 28.2 points per game
and earned 334.5 yards. Defensively, they
surrendered 23.3 points and 351.0 yards.
They gave up 108.9 rushing yards and 242.1
passing.
- Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last
7 non-conference games.
- Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with
a winning record.
- Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last
6 games on grass.
- Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last
7 games overall.
NCAA football
odds list Wake Forest the 2½-point favorites with a game total
of 47½.
- Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last
5 games as a favorite.
- Demon Deacons are 1-4 ATS in their last
5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Analysis: Wake Forest comes into this one
having the momentum at the ticket counter,
as they've covered the sread in six of their
last seven games. Meanwhile, Connecticut
has dropped the cash in two of its last three.
Expect the Demon Deacons to be able to get
to the Huskies quarterback, taking away much
of his affectiveness with pressure, as Wake
Forest should then be able to contain running
backs Dixon and Brown in a money-making bowl
victory.
NCAA Football
Free Picks: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -2½
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