Posted
on 12/12/2007 10:25 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping
Staff
College Bowl Lines - Betting Utah in the Poinsettia Bowl
Although supposedly
at a neutral site - sunny San Diego, California – the
crowd at the Poinsettia Bowl will actually
be slightly in favor of the Midshipmen.
The city is home to a large naval base,
but is not known for its overabundance
of Mormons. Seemingly small intangibles
like this are the things you must be aware
of if you want to be successful with your
football betting this college bowl season.
We, the writers at the BetUS Sportsbook
are going to do our best to help you beat
our bookies.
Navy Midshipmen
+8.5 at Utah Utes –8.5
Utah running
back Darrell Mack has been the focal point
of the Utes offense all year and this game
should be no different. Averaging 21 carries
per game, Mack is at his best running straight
up the middle and this is where Navy gives
up a vulnerable 4.2 yards per carry. By
stretching their front with multiple receivers,
the Utes can stretch the Midshipmen’s interior defense and
get bodies on their linebackers, taking advantage
of Navy’s inferior run defense.
Although Utah
quarterback Brian Johnson does not always
make the best decisions with the ball,
he is a pretty good open field runner and
can demonstrate a sound ability to find
his open man at times when dropping back
to pass. It is crucial for the Utes that
Johnson not be forced to make hasty decisions
too often. While Utah’s pass
protection can be a worry against some opponents,
it should not be a huge issue in this game.
Navy lacks a great pass rusher, for one thing.
Another thing in favor of Utah is the fact
that their top three wide receivers match
up very well with Navy’s secondary
and the Midshipmen will not be able to cheat
up to the front without taking a very large
risk of getting burnt for huge yards.
Poinsettia Bowl @ Qualcomm Stadium: 9 PM,
Thursday, Dec. 20, 2007
On defense,
Utah’s biggest worry will
be the play of safety Steve Tate. Tate can
play overly aggressive at times and this
can see him caught out of position. He will
have to play disciplined ball and not bite
on the play action, or he could get burned
big. Another big factor is that Tate will
be the last man with the possibility of stopping
Navy quarterback Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada
if the fleet-footed QB sees a seam and takes
off downfield.
Free Pick: If Tate
plays a solid game, Utah’s chances
of covering the 8.5-point college bowl betting
line go way up.
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