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Princeton vs. Penn St. Preview + Free Pick

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Posted on 12/12/2007 4:30 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Basketball Handicapping Staff

NCAA Basketball Betting - Princeton (2-6) at Penn State (4-4)

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BetUS: The Penn State Nittany Lions, (2-4-1 ATS, 4-3 O/U) are coming off a thrilling 89-86 overtime victory over Seton Hall on Saturday as they take on struggling Princeton, which has lost six consecutive games after opening the season with two consecutive wins.

The Princeton Tigers, (2-4-1 ATS, 4-3 O/U) are led by sophomore forward Zach Finley who averages 11 points and 5.3 rebounds per game while the Nittany Lions Four of Princeton’s six losses have come at the hands of Duke (83-61), Arizona State (61-42), Seton Hall (65-55) and Rutgers (54-50).

The Tigers are averaging just 54 points per game while shooting a tepid 40 percent from the field and have been out-rebounded by an average of five rebounds per game.

The Nittany Lions are led by a All-Big 10 performer and All-America candidate in senior Geary Claxton, who is averaging team highs of 19.4 points and 8.5 rebounds per game this season.

Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my NCAA Basketball Betting Free Pick:

Key Tigers Trends

The Tigers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.

The Tigers are 4-17-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.

The Tigers are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games.

Key Nittany Lions Trends

The Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last four Wednesday games.

The Nittany Lions are 8-3 ATS in their last eleven games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.

The Nittany Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Key Totals Trends

The Under is 4-0 in Tigers last four non-conference games.

The Under is 9-2 in Tigers last eleven Wednesday games.

The Under is 4-1 in Nittany Lions last five games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.

The Over is 4-1 in Nittany Lions last five home games.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

There are no trends available.

Analysis: The Nittany Lions are averaging almost 20 points per game more than the Tigers while allowing just eight more points per contest defensively. The point spread may look at bit high here bettors, but the Nittany Lions will cover as Princeton has absolutely no one to defend Penn State’s All-American candidate, Geary Claxton.

NCAA Basketball Gambling Free Picks: Penn State -14 Points

07:00 PM EST NCAA Baketball Odds

Princeton +14 -110

Penn State -14 -110

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