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Massachusetts vs. Boston College Preview + Free Pick

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Posted on 12/12/2007 4:30 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Basketball Handicapping Staff

NCAAB Wagering - Massachusetts (6-2) at Boston College (7-1)

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BetUS: The Commonwealth of Massachusetts is set for a huge collegiate matchup tonight as the University of Massachusetts takes on cross-town rivals, Boston College in a nationally televised contest.

UMass, (5-2 ATS, 5-2 O/U) to move to 7-2 for the second consecutive year in a row after going 24-9 last season and enters this contest coming off a solid 83-68 win over Marist on Saturday.

Boston College, (4-2 ATS, 4-2 O/U) has looked very solid since opening night and comes into this matchup off a thrilling 81-78 win at Maryland on Sunday night to open their ACC schedule. BC’s only loss of the season came to former Big East foe Providence on Dec. 1, a 98-89 defeat in overtime.

UMass is sixth in the nation in scoring, averaging a whopping 88.6 points per game and is also one of just four teams in the nation with two players in the Top 50 NCAA scoring leaders with Gary Forbes standing 26th with a 21.0 average and Ricky Harris, 47th with a 19.6 per game average.

Junior guard Tyrese Rice leads the Eagles in scoring, averaging 20.9 points per game, but is shooting just .40 percent from the field. BC also has three other players that average in double figures in scoring.

Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my Free college basketball pick.

Key Minutemen Trends

The Minutemen are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.

The Minutemen are 5-2 ATS in their last seven Wednesday games.

The Minutemen are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.

Key Eagles Trends

The Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. Atlantic Ten.

The Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.

The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

Key Totals Trends

The Over is 6-0 in Minutemen last six games following a S.U. win.

The Over is 4-0 in Minutemen last four games following an ATS win.

The Over is 4-0 in Eagles last four games following a S.U. win.

The Over is 4-0 in Eagles last four Wednesday games.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

The Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

The Minutemen are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.

The Road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.

Analysis: I know UMass is running-and-gunning their opponents into submission so far this season with their new, up-tempo offense, but Boston College will likely be the Minutemen’s toughest test to date. Although I’m taking the Eagles to win this game, I fully expect Massachusetts to cover the 5-point spread – with a chance of winning outright. Take the Minutemen to cover on the road hoops ncaab bettors.

NCAAB Free Picks: Massachusetts +5 Points

09:00 PM EST

Massachusetts +5 -110

Boston College -5 -110

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