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Posted on 9/29/2007 5:48:04 AM
Football Betting - Houston Texans (-4) at Atlanta Falcons (+4)
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On This Game At Betus Sportsbook -
The Houston Texans (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS,
2-1 O/U) lost their first game of the
season last week, falling to the Indianapolis
Colts 24-22 in a game in which the Texans
showed their newfound resolve by outscoring
the Colts 14-3 in a furious fourth quarter
rally. Houston is ranked 23rd overall on
offense and a surprising 10th in overall
defense.
The Atlanta Falcons (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS,
1-2 O/U) are a total mess at the moment
and enter this matchup coming off a 27-20
loss to the Carolina Panthers. Atlanta
is ranked 20th in overall offense and 17th
in overall defense, but has gotten sporadic
play from Harrington at the most inopportune
times.
Here is a
look at tonight’s key
trends followed by my NFL Wagering Free
Picks:
Key Texans Trends
The Texans are 5-0 ATS in their last five
games in Week four.
The Texans are 5-0 ATS in their last five
games overall.
The Texans are 7-2 ATS in their last nine
games following a S.U. loss.
Key Falcons Trends
The Falcons are 9-4 ATS in their last
13 games following a ATS loss.
The Falcons are 4-9-1 ATS in their last
14 games on Field Turf.
The Falcons are 17-39-2 ATS in their last
58 games after accumulating more than 350
total yards in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-0 in Texans last five games
on Field Turf.
The Under is 4-1 in Texans last five games
after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing
in their previous game.
The Over is 4-0 in Falcons last four games
as a home underdog.
The Under is 7-0 in Falcons last seven
games following a ATS loss.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
None Available
Analysis:
While this is a game that newly signed
quarterback Byron Leftwich may start
in place of the ineffective Joey Harrington,
it is clear that the Texans have a new
attitude and new direction under second-year
head coach Gary Kubiak. I say the Texans
pull off a rare road win and beat the stuffing
out of the wounded Falcons. Even better,
take the ‘Over’ in this game.
NFL Free Picks: Texans 28 Falcons 14
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Houston Texans
-2½ -110
Atlanta Falcons
+2½ -110
Over 39 -110
Under 39 -110
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