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Posted on 9/7/2007 9:55:01 PM
Week 1 NFL Spreads - Steelers at Browns
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The Pittsburgh
Steelers and Cleveland
Browns will hook up in a hard-fought divisional
matchup for their first regular season
game of 2007.
Both teams are
in the midst of change, but for different
reasons. Let’s
take a look at tonight’s key trends
followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks.
Here is a look
at tonight’s key
trends followed by me Free Football Betting
Picks:
Key Steelers Trends
The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last
five games on Grass.
The Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last
six games as a favorite.
The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last
five games overall.
Key Browns Trends
The Browns are 4-10-1 ATS in their last
15 vs. AFC North.
The Browns are 2-5-1 ATS in their last
eight games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
The Browns are 3-9-1 ATS in their last
13 games as a home underdog.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-0 in Steelers last five
games in Week one.
The Over is 6-2-1 in Steelers last nine
vs. AFC North.
The Under is 4-0 in Browns last four games
in Week one.
The Under is 9-2 in Browns last eleven
games in September.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Steelers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last
seven meetings.
The Favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in their last
six meetings.
The Over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.
Pittsburgh Steelers
(8-8 SU, 8-8 ATS, 9-6-1 O/U)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have a new head
coach in Mike Tomlin and some new faces,
but will stick to the same defensive system
that has made them the perennial contender
they were under former head coach Bill
Cowher.
New offensive
coordinator Bruce Arians brings in a
new offensive system that will depend
more on quarterback Ben Roethlisberger
and less on the power running game - a
staple under Cowher and one of the team’s
genuine strengths.
If the Steelers can come together quickly
while learning a new offensive system,
a surprise season could occur.
Cleveland Browns (4-12
SU, 7-8-1 ATS, 6-9-1 O/U)
The Browns are probably in their last season
under head coach Romeo Crennel if they
don’t win somewhere in the neighborhood
of eight games. Cleveland will start quarterback
Charlie Frye while youngster Brady Quinn
gets some time to wet his feet. The Browns
also added an aging Jamal Lewis to the
offense and will try to throw to tight
end Kellen Winslow and wide receiver Braylon
Edwards. Cleveland still has numerous issues
on the defensive of the ball and should
be tested against the Steelers rushing
attack.
Analysis: Even
with a new head coach and several key
players missing from their Super Bowl
team two years ago, the Steelers should
be able to take the Browns here with
their stifling defense. Don’t
forget, the Steelers also have some wonderful
skill position players too. (Hines Ward,
Santonio Holmes, Willie Parker). Take the
Steelers to cover the spread by winning
this game by at least six.
NFL Free Pick: Steelers 28 Browns 17
01:00 PM EST Football Odds
Pittsburgh Steelers
-4½ -125
Cleveland Browns
+4½ +105
Over 36½ -110
Under 36½ -110
NFL Week 1
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