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Posted on 9/29/2007 9:17:42 PM
Week 4 NFL Picks - Baltimore Ravens (-4) at Cleveland Browns (+4)
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The Baltimore Ravens (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS,
2-0 O/U) enter this contest having beaten
the Arizona Cardinals 26-23 last week.
Baltimore is ranked 16th in overall offense
while maintaining their usually strong
defense which is ranked eighth overall
in the league.
The Cleveland Browns (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS,
3-0 O/U) pulled off a shocker in Week 2
beating the Cincinnati Bengals 51-45 before
falling to the Oakland Raiders 26-24 in
a close affair last week. The Browns are
ranked ninth in the league on offense and
a next-to-last 31st on defense.
Here is a
look at tonight’s key
trends followed by my NFL Gambling Free
Picks:
Key Ravens Trends
The Ravens are 9-2 ATS in their last eleven
games in Week four.
The Ravens are 6-14 ATS in their last
20 road games.
The Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last seven
games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Key Browns Trends
The Browns are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with
a winning record.
The Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last five
games in Week four.
The Browns are 5-11-1 ATS in their last
17 vs. AFC North.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 4-1-1 in Ravens last six games
after allowing less than 90 yards rushing
in their previous game.
The Under is 4-1 in Ravens last five games
as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
The Over is 4-0 in Browns last four games
as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
The Over is 6-1-1 in Browns last eight
games after allowing more than 150 yards
rushing in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last
six meetings.
Analysis:
The Baltimore Ravens may be the better
team here on both sides of the ball,
but I’m going to go against
the grain here and say the Browns pull
another shocker by beating the offensively
challenged Ravens soundly with quarterback
Derek Anderson pulling his best Dan Marino
imitation again.
NFL Free Picks: Browns 17 Ravens 16
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Baltimore Ravens -4 -110
Cleveland Browns +4 -110
Over 39½ -110
Under 39½ -110
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