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Posted on 9/29/2007 9:17:42 PM
NFL Betting Free Picks - New York Jets (-4) at Buffalo Bills (+4)
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On This Game At Betus Sportsbook -
The New York Jets (1-2 SU, 1-1-1 ATS,
2-0-1 O/U) may have won their first game
of the season last week, beating up on
the lowly Miami Dolphins 31-28, but they
have huge problems on both sides of the
ball as evidenced by their 28th overall
ranking in both categories.
The Buffalo
Bills (0-3 SU, 1-2-0 ATS, 1-2-0 O/U)
have been even more pathetic this season
in going 0-3 while compiling the league’s
lowest rated offense (32 pass, 18 rush)
and defense (32 rush, 32 pass). Quarterback
J.P. Losman may be out for two weeks
with an injury and rookie linebacker
Paul Posluszny is now out for the season
after being placed on injured reserve
this week.
Here is a
look at tonight’s Key
Trends followed by my Free NFL Betting
Picks:
Key Jets Trends
The Jets are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with
a losing record.
The Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last four
games after allowing more than 350 total
yards in their previous game.
The Jets are 9-0 ATS in their last nine
games following a ATS loss.
Key Bills Trends
The Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last seven
games on Turf.
The Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six
home games.
The Bills are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with
a losing record.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 6-0-1 in Jets last seven games
in September.
The Under is 6-1-1 in Jets last eight
games after allowing more than 350 total
yards in their previous game.
The Under is 4-1 in Bills last five games
after allowing more than 250 yards passing
in their previous game.
The Under is 4-1 in Bills last five games
after scoring less than 15 points in their
previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
The Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings
in Buffalo.
The Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven
meetings.
Analysis:
Although the Jets have looked pretty
dismal themselves and are playing this
game on the road, New York is favored
in this game for a reason – the Bills
are already decimated by several debilitating
injuries, including the most recent news
that Losman will not start this game. Take
the Jets to win this game, likely by a
touchdown.
NFL Free Picks: Jets 28 Bills 21
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
New York Jets -4 -110
Buffalo Bills +4 -110
Over 37 -110
Under 37 -110
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