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Posted on 9/8/2007 6:31:29 PM
Week 1 NFL Picks - Atlanta Falcons (0-0) at Minnesota Vikings (0-0)
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With the indefinite suspension of former
starting quarterback Michael Vick, the
Atlanta Falcons are depending on career
underachiever Joey Harrington to be their
starting quarterback while the Minnesota
Vikings are turning to athletic, but inexperienced
youngster, Tavaris Jackson to turn their
fortunes around.
Here is a look
at tonight’s Key
Trends followed by my Free Football Betting
Picks:
Key Falcons Trends
The Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last
9 games in Week 1.
The Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last
6 games as a road underdog.
The Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last
7 games as an underdog.
Key Vikings Trends
The Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last
4 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
The Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last
4 games in September.
The Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last
5 games in Week 1.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 8-1 in Falcons last 9 games
overall.
The Under is 6-1 in Falcons last 7 games
in September.
The Under is 4-1-1 in Vikings last 6 games
in September.
The Over is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 vs.
NFC.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last
5 meetings.
Minnesota Vikings:
The Vikings posted a 6-10 record last
year in head coach Brad Childress’ first
season but faded quickly after an impressive
start.
Minnesota has added gifted running back
Adrian Peterson to the mix through the
draft and has two speedy wide receivers
in Troy Williamson and Sidney Rice. The
Vikings do have some legitimate problems
along the defensive line and the secondary
is mediocre at best. The Vikings recorded
middle-of the-road numbers in both wagering
categories last season (7-9 ATS, 7-7-2
O/U).
Atlanta Falcons: The Atlanta Falcons have
likely seen the last of quarterback Michael
Vick and will start former No. 3 overall
pick Joey Harrington at quarterback despite
the fact that Harrington has been mediocre
at best throughout his NFL career.
Atlanta will still be able to count on
veteran Warrick Dunn at running back but
has big questions at wide receiver where
their best receiver may now be 35-year-old
veteran Joe Horn. The Falcons are hoping
that Laurent Robinson, Frank Gibson, Adam
Jennings, or Roddy White can elevate their
games.
Atlanta also has several question marks
throughout their starting defensive unit
that need to be answered. Despite going
an unimpressive 7-9 in the regular, the
Falcons posted a solid 8-8 ATS record but
one of the worst O/U records in the league
(4-11-1 O/U).
NFL
Betting Analysis: Neither team has
played particularly well in the preseason
but in the end, I say take the Vikings
to win this matchup with the home fans
spurring them on over a similarly mediocre
Atlanta Falcons team.
NFL Free Picks: Vikings 27 Falcons 21
01:00 PM EST
Football Odds:
Atlanta Falcons +3 EV
Minnesota Vikings -3 -120
Under 35½ -110
Over 35½ -110
NFL Week 1
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