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Posted on 10/5/2007 9:49:25 PM
NFL Betting Free Picks - Miami Dolphins (+6.5) at Houston Texans (-6.5)
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The Miami Dolphins (0-4 SU, 0-2-2 ATS,
3-1 O/U) are an absolute disgrace at the
moment and look like they could take another
step or two backwards before the NFL betting
season is over. Miami is ranked 17th in
overall offense but has watched its normally
stellar defense fall all the way to 22nd
in the league overall. 37-year-old starting
quarterback Trent Green looks like he is
two steps away from retirement.
The Houston Texans (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS, 3-1
O/U) are off to a surprising start under
new quarterback Matt Schaub even if they
did lose to the Atlanta Falcons 26-16 last
week. Houston is also in the process of
building one of the best defensive lines
in the game and is currently ranked 13th
in the league in overall defense. Houston
is also ranked 16th in overall offense.
Here is a
look at tonight’s key
trends followed by my Free NFL Betting
Picks:
Key Dolphins Trends
The Dolphins are 4-1-1 ATS in their last
six games following a double-digit loss
at home.
The Dolphins are 8-3-1 ATS in their last
twelve games after allowing more than 30
points in their previous game.
The Dolphins are 4-9-1 ATS in their last
14 games after allowing more than 350 total
yards in their previous game.
Key Texans Trends
The Texans are 5-0 ATS in their last five
games on Grass.
The Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last four
games after accumulating more than 350
total yards in their previous game.
The Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last four
home games.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-0-1 in Dolphins last six
games in Week Five.
The Over is 12-2 in Dolphins last 14 games
as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
The Over is 5-1 in Texans last six vs.
a team with a losing record.
The Over is 9-2 in Texans last eleven
games after accumulating more than 250
yards passing in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
No trends available.
Analysis:
The Dolphins should go down in flames
once again with the Texans needing this
win badly after losing last Sunday. Take
the Texans – and their defensive
line – to pound and pressure Green
into a long afternoon that results in a
Texans win and cover.
NFL Free Picks: Texans 21 Dolphins 14
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Miami Dolphins
+6½ -110
Houston Texans
-6½ -110
Under 43½ -110
Over 43½ -110
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