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Posted on 9/29/2007 9:17:42 PM
NFL Betting Odds - Denver Broncos (+10.5) at Indianapolis Colts (-10.5)
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The Denver Broncos (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS,
2-1 O/U) lost their first game of the
season last week, falling to the Jacksonville
Jaguars 24-13 despite owning the league’s
sixth-ranked offense and third-ranked defense.
The Broncos
haven’t scored more
than 23 points in any game this season
but have not allowed more than that same
number of points in any game either. Interestingly,
the Broncos No. 1-rated pass defense should
get a thorough test against Peyton Manning
and the Colts this week.
The Indianapolis
Colts (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U) are
3-0 but are coming off a closer-than-expected
win over the Houston Texans in which the
Texans outscored Indy 14-3 in the final
quarter. Indianapolis owns the league’s
fourth-ranked offense, (4 pass 16 rush)
and has been surprisingly strong on defense,
earning the league’s fourth-ranked
unit (10 pass, 14 rush).
Here is a
look at tonight’s key
trends followed by my Free NFL Betting
Picks:
Key Broncos Trends
The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last
7 games as a road underdog.
The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last
7 games as an underdog.
The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last
10 road games vs. a team with a winning
home record.
Key Colts Trends
The Colts are 7-1 ATS in their last 8
games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
The Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6
games on Turf.
The Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6
home games.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 6-0 in Broncos last 6 games
following a ATS loss.
The Over is 8-1 in Broncos last 9 games
after allowing more than 150 yards rushing
in their previous game.
The Under is 5-1 in Colts last 6 home
games vs. a team with a winning road record.
The Under is 7-2 in Colts last 9 games
in September.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last
7 meetings.
Analysis:
I like the Broncos to keep the score
close throughout this game with an outside
chance of stealing a win here. In the
end, I can’t go against the
Colts, but I like the Broncos to cover
easily.
NFL Free Picks: Colts 24 Broncos 21
04:15 PM EST NFL Odds
Denver Broncos
+10½ -110
Indianapolis
Colts -10½ -110
Under 46 -110
Over 46 -110
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